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Thinking about buying a 3-bedroom apartment in Warsaw's Śródmieście district? It’s a vibrant area, but you're probably wondering: is now the right time to buy, or should you wait for prices to drop?
And what about long-term investment—should you look into other districts like Mokotów or Wilanów where property values might appreciate more over time?
In this article, we’ll answer these questions. We know this market quite well - and we have put all our knowledge in the Poland Property Pack.
Will property prices increase in Poland in 2025?
No, property prices in Poland are not expected to rise in 2025, due to a combination of economic challenges and market dynamics.
Backed by our fresh, in-depth market analysis, we’re observing a cooling trend in the Polish property market, influenced by both domestic and international factors.
While there are some positive indicators like urban development and foreign investment, the prevailing economic conditions and market saturation suggest a potential stabilization or decline in property prices.
Signals pointing to a property price increase in Poland
Here are some factors suggesting prices could increase:
Continued urbanization and migration to major cities like Warsaw and Krakow are expected to sustain demand for housing, particularly in urban centers.
Foreign investment in Polish real estate remains strong, with international buyers attracted by the relatively lower prices compared to Western Europe.
Government initiatives aimed at supporting first-time homebuyers and affordable housing projects could stimulate demand in certain segments of the market.
Signals pointing to a property price decrease in Poland
Here are some factors suggesting prices could fall:
Rising interest rates are making mortgages more expensive, which could deter potential buyers and reduce demand.
Economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures are impacting consumer confidence and spending power, potentially leading to a slowdown in the property market.
An increase in housing supply, particularly in suburban and less densely populated areas, could lead to an oversupply situation, putting downward pressure on prices.
The potential for stricter lending criteria from banks could limit access to financing for many buyers, further dampening demand.
A slowdown in economic growth in Poland and the broader European region could impact job security and income levels, reducing the ability of individuals to invest in property.
The ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe may create uncertainty, affecting both domestic and foreign investment in the Polish property market.
A shift in demographic trends, such as an aging population, could lead to a decrease in demand for new housing developments over time.
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If property prices go up in Poland, how much would they increase by?
If real estate prices in Poland were to rise in 2025, the increase would likely be around 3% to 7% of their 2024 values.
Typically, real estate in emerging markets like Poland appreciates by approximately 3% to 7% annually over the long term. However, fluctuations can occur depending on factors such as region, season, and property type.
It means that, if you spot a charming 2-bedroom apartment in Warsaw for 850,000 PLN today, don't be surprised if it's priced between 875,500 and 909,500 PLN this time next year.
To give you a better understanding, here is a table that shows 7 types of Polish real estate properties, their estimated prices in 2024, and projections for 2025 based on potential price increases of 3%, 5%, and 7%.
Type of Property | Average Price in 2024 (PLN) | Price in 2025 (3% increase) | Price in 2025 (5% increase) | Price in 2025 (7% increase) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Apartment in Warsaw (60 sqm / 646 sqft) | 900,000 PLN | 927,000 PLN | 945,000 PLN | 963,000 PLN |
Modern Apartment in Krakow (75 sqm / 807 sqft) | 1,200,000 PLN | 1,236,000 PLN | 1,260,000 PLN | 1,284,000 PLN |
Luxury Penthouse in Gdansk (100 sqm / 1,076 sqft) | 2,500,000 PLN | 2,575,000 PLN | 2,625,000 PLN | 2,675,000 PLN |
Studio in Wroclaw (30 sqm / 323 sqft) | 450,000 PLN | 463,500 PLN | 472,500 PLN | 481,500 PLN |
Loft in Poznan (80 sqm / 861 sqft) | 1,600,000 PLN | 1,648,000 PLN | 1,680,000 PLN | 1,712,000 PLN |
Townhouse in Lodz (150 sqm / 1,615 sqft) | 3,500,000 PLN | 3,605,000 PLN | 3,675,000 PLN | 3,745,000 PLN |
Investment Property in Katowice (50 sqm / 538 sqft) | 750,000 PLN | 772,500 PLN | 787,500 PLN | 802,500 PLN |
Everything you need to know is included in our Property Pack for Poland
If real estate prices go up in Poland, which areas are likely to see the biggest increases?
Today, people who want to move to Poland are looking for a blend of historical charm and modern amenities, which Kazimierz in Kraków offers. Hence, we could see a price increase there in 2025.
Additionally, there's been a growing interest in vibrant, youthful neighborhoods, and Praga in Warsaw has really taken off.
We like it when information is clear and easy to digest. So, here’s a table that highlights the areas where prices might rise the most, along with the reasons behind those expected increases. It’s very high-level. If you want more details on a specific area, please check our real estate pack tailored to the Polish market.
Neighborhood | Level of Increase | Why |
---|---|---|
Kazimierz, Kraków | High | Recent development of luxury housing projects and its increasing appeal to international buyers as travel normalizes post-pandemic, driving demand. |
Śródmieście, Warsaw | High | Expected rise due to limited housing stock, upcoming renovations to heritage buildings, and growing demand for prime properties in central Warsaw. |
Praga, Warsaw | Medium-High | Ongoing gentrification and new transport links, along with several planned redevelopment projects in the area, are likely to push prices higher. |
Mokotów, Warsaw | Medium | The shift towards hybrid workspaces is driving demand for residential properties near business districts, combined with new mixed-use developments. |
Podgórze, Kraków | Medium-High | Eco-friendly urban projects and recent construction of new schools and parks are increasing its attractiveness for families, pushing prices upward. |
Oliwa, Gdańsk | Medium | Investment in local infrastructure, such as the extension of tram lines and renovation of historic areas, is boosting long-term value. |
Sopot | Medium-High | With new cultural and commercial spaces being developed, this trendy neighborhood is seeing increased demand from both residents and investors. |
Wola, Warsaw | High | Upcoming large-scale urban regeneration projects and improved public transport access are expected to make this area more desirable. |
Wilanów, Warsaw | Medium-High | Its proximity to central Warsaw, along with new office and residential developments, makes it increasingly attractive to professionals seeking more space. |
Żoliborz, Warsaw | Medium | Gentrification and cultural regeneration projects are attracting new residents, leading to rising prices as the area becomes more fashionable. |
Kępa Mieszczańska, Wrocław | High | As new luxury developments are launched, demand for premium housing among wealthy buyers is expected to further increase property values. |
Old Town, Gdańsk | High | Upcoming restoration of historic sites and high-profile cultural projects are driving a renewed focus on this central, historic location. |
If I'm looking to invest in real estate, what types of properties should I focus on for the best value appreciation in Poland?
In 2025, Poland's real estate trends focus on tech-smart, energy-efficient apartments, larger suburban homes for families, properties with outdoor spaces, and eco-friendly buildings—all driving higher demand and prices. Here is a summary.
- Tech-Equipped and Energy-Efficient Apartments:
Driven by remote work and sustainability trends, these homes offer smart technology features and energy-saving systems. They cater to young professionals and tech workers, making them a hot commodity in 2025, especially in cities like Warsaw and Kraków.
- Family-Sized Apartments in Suburban Areas:
With a growing demand for larger living spaces, especially among families, suburban areas near major Polish cities like Warsaw, Wrocław, and Gdańsk are seeing increased interest. Proximity to green spaces and schools is a major factor driving value.
- Properties with Outdoor Spaces:
Post-pandemic, outdoor spaces like terraces, balconies, or gardens have become highly desirable. In dense urban areas of Poland, these features offer a much-needed escape and are likely to drive up property values.
- Eco-Friendly Buildings with Low Carbon Footprints:
Poland's commitment to sustainability is boosting demand for eco-certified buildings. Buyers are increasingly valuing properties that align with the country's green goals, leading to price appreciation in this category.
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