Get all the latest data for Split

Prices, rents, yields, forecasts, best neighborhoods, etc.

What are the price trends and forecasts in Split right now? (2026)

Last updated on 

Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Croatia Property Pack

Get all the data you need about the real estate market in Split

In this article, we look at the current housing prices in Split in 2026, and we keep updating this page as fresh real estate data becomes available.

We focus on residential property in Split, including apartments, houses, townhouses and villas.

We also explain what could happen next, because Split property prices are shaped by tourism, limited land, foreign buyers and local affordability.

And if you’re planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in Split.

photo of expert nikki grey

Fact-checked and reviewed by our local expert

✓✓✓

Nikki Grey 🇬🇧

CEO & Director, Europe Properties

With vast experience in European property investments, Nikki Grey is well-versed in the booming market of Split. As the CEO of Europe Properties, she provides investors with access to exclusive real estate in this Adriatic gem. From historic apartments in the Old Town to waterfront villas, she ensures buyers make informed and strategic investments.

What are the current property price trends in Split as of 2026?

What is the average house price in Split as of 2026?

As of 2026, the average house price in Split in 2026 is best estimated at about €340,000, which is also the local currency price, or about $395,000 using mid-June 2026 exchange rates.

That means the average residential property price in Split in 2026 is around €4,600 to €5,000 per m2, or about $5,300 to $5,800 per m2, while advertised listings are closer to €5,660 per m2, or about $6,570 per m2.

For most normal buyers, a realistic 2026 purchase range in Split is roughly €220,000 to €700,000, or about $255,000 to $810,000, because small older apartments sit far below prime sea-view homes in Meje, Bačvice, Žnjan and the Old Town edge.

How much have property prices increased in Split over the past 12 months?

Property prices in Split increased by about 12% over the past 12 months, based on May 2026 asking prices for residential property in Split.

Across property types, the realistic 12-month increase in Split is closer to 5% to 15%, with renovated apartments and prime coastal homes rising faster than older properties that need work.

The single biggest reason for this increase is that Split has very limited housing supply in the best areas, while demand still comes from locals, Zagreb buyers, foreign buyers, tourism investors and lifestyle buyers.

Sources and methodology: we compared Nekretnine.hr, Croatian Bureau of Statistics and Croatian National Bank data. We treated portal prices as asking prices, not final sale prices. We also used our own Split deal reviews to adjust the headline number.

Which neighborhoods have the fastest rising property prices in Split as of 2026?

As of 2026, the three fastest rising areas in Split are the Old Town and Varoš area, the Žnjan and Trstenik coastal area, and the Bačvice and Firule area.

In simple terms, annual price growth is around 20% to 25% in the central zone, around 12% to 15% in Žnjan and Trstenik, and around 10% to 14% in Bačvice and Firule.

The main demand driver is different in each area, with Old Town and Varoš helped by scarcity, Žnjan and Trstenik helped by coastal renewal, and Bačvice and Firule helped by beach access and year-round rental appeal.

By the way, you will find much more detailed price ranges across neighborhoods in our property pack covering the real estate market in Split.

Sources and methodology: we used Nekretnine.hr, Žnjan official project updates and EBRD Green Cities. We translated broad city zones into real Split neighborhood names. We then checked these results against our own local price mapping.

Get fresh and reliable information about the market in Split

Don't base significant investment decisions on outdated data. Get updated and accurate information.

buying property foreigner Split

Which property types are increasing faster in value in Split as of 2026?

As of 2026, the estimated ranking by value growth in Split is apartment first, villa second, townhouse third and condo fourth, although in Split a condo is usually just another form of apartment.

The top-performing property type is the renovated or modern apartment, with annual appreciation of about 10% to 14% in good locations such as Varoš, Bačvice, Firule, Žnjan, Trstenik and the Old Town edge.

This property type is outperforming because buyers want homes that are easy to rent, easy to maintain and easy to use personally, especially when parking, lift access, terraces or sea views are included.

Finally, if you’re interested in a specific property type, you will find our latest analyses here:

Sources and methodology: we compared DZS house price data, Nekretnine.hr listings and 385 Real Estate. We gave more weight to liquid property types than luxury outliers. We also used our own buyer-demand notes for Split apartments.

What is driving property prices up or down in Split as of 2026?

As of 2026, the top three drivers of Split property prices are limited land, tourism-linked rental demand and demand from buyers who are not fully dependent on Croatian mortgages.

The strongest upward pressure comes from land scarcity, because Split is squeezed between the sea, Marjan Hill and the mountains, so the best residential locations cannot be easily reproduced.

The main downward pressure comes from affordability, because many local households cannot easily follow prices above €5,000 per m2 in the most wanted Split neighborhoods.

If you want to understand these factors at a deeper level, you can read our latest property market analysis about Split here.

Sources and methodology: we used European Commission, HNB lending data and Nekretnine.hr. We separated national macro trends from Split-specific scarcity. We also used our own demand scoring by neighborhood.

Don't buy the wrong property, in the wrong area of Split

Buying real estate is a significant investment. Don't rely solely on your intuition. Gather the right information to make the best decision.

housing market Split

What is the property price forecast for Split in 2026?

How much are property prices expected to increase in Split in 2026?

As of 2026, property prices in Split are expected to increase by about 8% for the full year, with the best apartments likely to rise more than the average.

A realistic forecast range for Split property price growth in 2026 is 5% to 12%, depending on location, building quality, parking, sea views and rental potential.

The main assumption behind this forecast is that Split demand remains strong, but higher prices and mortgage costs make buyers more selective than in 2024 and 2025.

We go deeper and try to understand how solid are these forecasts in our pack covering the property market in Split.

Sources and methodology: we used Nekretnine.hr, DZS and European Commission. We started from current price growth and adjusted it down for affordability. We also checked our forecast against recent Split buyer behavior.

Which neighborhoods will see the highest price growth in Split in 2026?

As of 2026, the neighborhoods expected to see the highest price growth in Split are Žnjan, Trstenik, Pazdigrad, Bačvice, Firule, Varoš and the Old Town edge.

The projected 2026 price growth in these top Split neighborhoods is roughly 8% to 13%, with the strongest numbers likely in areas where public space or rental appeal is improving.

The primary catalyst is the same in most of these areas, because buyers are paying more for walkability, sea access, renovated buildings and limited supply.

One emerging Split area that could surprise is Kopilica and Brodarica, because planned regeneration could change how buyers view the northern approach to the city.

By the way, we’ve written a blog article detailing what are the current best areas to invest in property in Split.

Sources and methodology: we used Žnjan project information, EBRD Green Cities and Nekretnine.hr. We linked project momentum to nearby residential areas. We then added our own neighborhood-level investment view.

What property types will appreciate the most in Split in 2026?

As of 2026, apartments are expected to appreciate the most in Split, especially renovated 1-bedroom and 2-bedroom apartments in central, coastal or well-connected areas.

The projected appreciation for good Split apartments in 2026 is about 9% to 12%, with the very best small units sometimes doing slightly better.

The main demand trend is that buyers want flexible homes that can work for personal use, long-term renting or carefully managed short-term renting.

The property type expected to underperform is the older house that needs major renovation, because building costs, parking problems and legal checks make buyers more cautious.

Sources and methodology: we used DZS, Nekretnine.hr and 385 Real Estate. We did not assume every luxury property sells quickly. We focused on property types with deep buyer demand.

Make a profitable investment in Split

Better information leads to better decisions. Save time and money. Download our data.

buying property foreigner Split

How will interest rates affect property prices in Split in 2026?

As of 2026, interest rates are likely to cool Split property prices slightly, but they are unlikely to stop growth because many prime Split buyers use cash, equity or rental income.

The current euro-area policy rate backdrop points to mortgage rates around the low 3% range in Croatia, with the Croatian National Bank reporting new housing loans at about 3.03% in January 2026.

A 1% increase in mortgage rates can make a home feel roughly 10% less affordable for many buyers, so higher rates usually reduce bids first on ordinary apartments and weaker locations.

You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Croatia.

Sources and methodology: we used HNB housing-loan data, ECB key rates and European Commission. We linked rates to affordability, not only to headline prices. We also compared this with our own Split buyer profiles.

What are the biggest risks for property prices in Split in 2026?

As of 2026, the top three risks for Split property prices are stricter short-term rental rules, weaker affordability and a tourism or macroeconomic shock.

The risk with the highest probability is weaker affordability, because many local buyers already struggle with prices near €5,000 to €6,000 per m2 in popular Split areas.

This does not mean a crash is the base case, but it does mean overpriced homes without parking, outdoor space or legal clarity may stay on the market for longer.

We actually cover all these risks and their likelihoods in our pack about the real estate market in Split.

Sources and methodology: we used HNB, European Commission and Nekretnine.hr. We treated weak affordability as a liquidity risk before a price risk. We also used our own checks on overpriced listings.

Is it a good time to buy a rental property in Split in 2026?

As of 2026, it can be a good time to buy a rental property in Split, but only if the apartment is legally clean, well located and not priced as if perfect rental income is guaranteed.

The strongest argument for buying now is that Split still has strong tourist demand, limited central supply and good year-round appeal compared with many smaller coastal towns.

The strongest argument for waiting is that high prices and possible short-let regulation can reduce net yields, especially for apartments bought above €5,500 per m2.

If you want to know our latest analysis (results may differ from what you just read), you can read our assessment on whether now is a good time to buy a property in Split.

You’ll also find a dedicated document about this specific question in our pack about real estate in Split.

Sources and methodology: we used Nekretnine.hr sale and rent data, DZS price trends and European Commission. We compared likely rent with purchase prices and risk. We also used our own rental-yield checks for Split neighborhoods.

Get to know the market before buying a property in Split

Better information leads to better decisions. Get all the data you need before investing a large amount of money.

real estate market Split

Where will property prices be in 5 years in Split?

What is the 5-year property price forecast for Split as of 2026?

As of 2026, property prices in Split are expected to grow by about 25% to 35% over the next 5 years in a reasonable base case.

A conservative 5-year scenario for Split is around 10% to 15% total growth, while an optimistic scenario is around 45% if tourism, infrastructure and foreign demand stay very strong.

The projected average annual appreciation rate in Split over the next 5 years is about 4.5% to 6%, which is slower than the recent boom but still strong.

The key assumption is that Split remains a scarce Adriatic city where lifestyle demand and rental demand keep pressure on a small stock of desirable homes.

Sources and methodology: we used DZS HPI, Nekretnine.hr and European Commission. We did not copy a single forecast, because no official Split 5-year forecast exists. We built scenarios from current growth, macro data and local scarcity.

Which areas in Split will have the best price growth over the next 5 years?

The top three areas in Split expected to have the best price growth over the next 5 years are Žnjan and Trstenik, Varoš and the Old Town edge, and Kopilica and Brodarica.

The projected 5-year cumulative price growth for these areas is roughly 30% to 45%, with the strongest result likely where public-space upgrades or regeneration plans become visible to buyers.

This differs from the shorter 2026 forecast because the 5-year view gives more weight to projects like Žnjan and Kopilica, while the short-term view gives more weight to today’s asking-price momentum.

The currently undervalued area with the best outperformance potential is Kopilica and Brodarica, because it could move from a functional fringe area to a better connected urban extension of Split.

Sources and methodology: we used EBRD Green Cities, Žnjan official updates and Nekretnine.hr. We separated current expensive areas from areas with improvement potential. We also used our own neighborhood risk scoring.

What property type will give the best return in Split over 5 years as of 2026?

As of 2026, the property type expected to give the best total return over 5 years in Split is the small or mid-sized apartment in a walkable coastal or central location.

The projected 5-year total return for this type of Split apartment is roughly 45% to 65% when price growth and rental income are combined, before taxes, fees and maintenance.

The main structural trend is that both residents and visitors prefer easy-to-use apartments near beaches, the Riva, hospitals, transport, restaurants or everyday services.

The best balance of return and lower risk is likely a renovated 40 m2 to 75 m2 apartment with legal clarity, outdoor space or parking in Žnjan, Trstenik, Bačvice, Firule, Varoš or Stobreč.

Sources and methodology: we used Nekretnine.hr rental and sale data, DZS price data and 385 Real Estate. We estimated total return from both rent and price growth. We also adjusted for liquidity and legal risk.

How will new infrastructure projects affect property prices in Split over 5 years?

The top three infrastructure and urban projects expected to affect Split property prices over the next 5 years are the Žnjan coastal renewal, the Kopilica regeneration plan and transport improvements around the port, bus and rail network.

In Split, the typical price premium near a completed and visible public-space upgrade can be around 5% to 15%, but only when the project improves daily life, parking, access or the waterfront experience.

The neighborhoods that should benefit most are Žnjan, Trstenik, Pazdigrad, Kopilica, Brodarica, Stobreč and parts of the eastern approach to Split.

Sources and methodology: we used Žnjan project updates, EBRD Green Cities and Nekretnine.hr. We only counted projects that can change buyer perception. We also used our own view of likely neighborhood spillovers.

How will population growth and other factors impact property values in Split in 5 years?

Split city population is not expected to grow strongly over the next 5 years, so the property value impact comes more from effective demand than from simple resident growth.

The demographic shift that matters most is higher-income demand from professionals, diaspora buyers, retirees and lifestyle buyers who want smaller, easier homes in good locations.

Domestic buyers from Zagreb and international buyers from the EU are likely to support prices in Split, especially when they compete for the same limited coastal and central apartments.

The property types and areas that benefit most are modern apartments in Žnjan, Trstenik, Bačvice, Firule, Varoš, Stobreč and the Old Town edge.

Sources and methodology: we used DZS census data, Nekretnine.hr and European Commission. We focused on buyer demand, not only resident population. We also used our own Split buyer segmentation.
infographics comparison property prices Split

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Croatia compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

What is the 10 year property price outlook in Split?

What is the 10-year property price prediction for Split as of 2026?

As of 2026, property prices in Split are expected to grow by about 50% to 75% over the next 10 years in a realistic base case.

A conservative 10-year scenario for Split is around 25% to 35% total growth, while an optimistic scenario is around 90% to 110% if Split becomes a stronger year-round Adriatic hub.

The projected average annual appreciation rate in Split over the next 10 years is roughly 4% to 5.5%, which is much calmer than the recent boom years.

The biggest uncertainty is regulation, because short-term rental rules, planning limits and affordability pressure could change the economics of buying property in Split.

Sources and methodology: we used DZS, European Commission and Croatian National Bank. We built a scenario forecast because 10-year city forecasts are uncertain. We also used our own view of Split’s long-term scarcity premium.

What long-term economic factors will shape property prices in Split?

The top three long-term economic factors shaping Split property prices are Croatia’s eurozone integration, the quality of tourism growth and the city’s ability to improve transport, public space and housing supply.

The most positive long-term factor is Split’s ability to become a better year-round coastal city, because that would support both rental demand and owner-occupier demand.

The greatest structural risk is local affordability, because a market that becomes too expensive for residents can face political pressure, rental regulation and weaker year-round life.

You’ll also find a much more detailed analysis in our pack about real estate in Split.

Sources and methodology: we used European Commission, HNB and EBRD Green Cities. We treated liveability as a real price driver, not a soft detail. We also used our own long-term risk framework for Split.

What sources have we used to write this blog article?

Whether it’s in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about Split, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can … and we don’t throw out numbers at random.

We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we’ve listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.

Source Why we trust it How we used it
Croatian Bureau of Statistics, House Price Indices It is Croatia’s official statistics agency for transaction-based house price data. We used it as the official baseline for Croatian and Adriatic property-price growth. We used Q4 2025 because Q1 2026 data was not yet published in June 2026.
Croatian Bureau of Statistics, HPI release schedule It confirms when official Croatian house price data is released. We used it to avoid pretending that later official data already existed. We then combined official data with May 2026 market evidence.
Nekretnine.hr Split price dashboard It gives current asking-price data for Split by city zone. We used it for May 2026 Split asking prices and rent levels. We treated its figures as asking prices, not final sale prices.
Nekretnine.hr Croatia price dashboard It gives a useful national and regional comparison using the same method. We used it to compare Split with Dalmatia and Croatia. We used this to understand Split’s premium over broader markets.
Croatian National Bank macroeconomic projections It is Croatia’s central bank and publishes official macro views. We used it to understand the wider economic backdrop. We cross-checked it with European Commission forecasts.
Croatian National Bank lending-rate statistics It is the official source for Croatian bank lending-rate data. We used it to assess financing pressure on buyers. We linked housing-loan rates to affordability in Split.
European Commission Croatia economic forecast It gives an official EU view on Croatia’s economy. We used it for GDP, inflation, employment and investment context. We used it to keep the Split forecast from becoming too optimistic.
European Central Bank key interest rates Croatia uses the euro, so ECB rates influence Croatian mortgages. We used it to understand euro-area financing conditions. We linked those conditions to buyer affordability in Split.
Croatian Bureau of Statistics building permits It is official supply-side data for construction and new dwellings. We used it to judge whether new supply could cool prices. We treated national construction data as useful but not enough to solve Split’s local land scarcity.
EBRD Green Cities, Split Urban Regeneration Plan EBRD is a major development bank with a Split urban plan. We used it for Kopilica and transport-led regeneration. We used it to identify areas with possible medium-term upside.
Žnjan project official site It gives project-level information about a major Split coastal upgrade. We used it to understand the Žnjan effect on nearby neighborhoods. We linked it to possible price pressure in Žnjan, Trstenik and Pazdigrad.
European Central Bank EUR to USD reference rate It is the official euro reference-rate source for currency conversion. We used it to convert euro prices into approximate US dollars. We rounded the dollar figures to keep the article easy to read.

Get the full checklist for your due diligence in Split

Don't repeat the same mistakes others have made before you. Make sure everything is in order before signing your sales contract.

real estate trends Split