What are the price trends and forecasts in Munich right now? (2026)

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Germany Property Pack

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Yes, the analysis of Munich's property market is included in our pack

Munich remains one of Germany's most expensive and sought-after property markets, and understanding where prices are heading matters if you're thinking about buying.

In this article, we break down current housing prices in Munich, recent trends, and what forecasts suggest for 2026 and beyond.

We update this blog post regularly to keep the numbers fresh and reliable.

And if you're planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in Munich.

Insights

  • Munich apartments now average around 9,000 euros per square meter, meaning a typical 75 square meter flat costs roughly 675,000 euros before transaction fees.
  • Property prices in Munich rose about 3% over the past 12 months, ending the 2022 to 2024 correction and marking a return to growth.
  • Milbertshofen-Am Hart and Schwabing-Freimann are among the Munich neighborhoods showing the strongest price momentum heading into 2026.
  • Energy-efficient apartments are appreciating faster than older, unrenovated properties because buyers heavily discount renovation uncertainty and energy costs.
  • Munich's qualified rent index shows rents so high that buy-versus-rent math stays close even with elevated mortgage rates.
  • The 5-year forecast for Munich property suggests cumulative growth of 15% to 25%, translating to roughly 3% to 4.5% per year.
  • Gross rental yields in prime Munich districts often sit at just 2% to 3%, meaning returns depend heavily on long-term capital appreciation.
  • Major infrastructure projects like the 2nd S-Bahn trunk line (expected 2035 to 2037) are already creating a planning premium in districts like Laim and Haidhausen.
  • Munich's official population forecast still projects continued growth, which supports long-run housing demand even after cyclical dips.
  • Over a 10-year horizon, Munich residential prices could rise 30% to 45% cumulatively, assuming no major economic shocks.

What are the current property price trends in Munich as of 2026?

What is the average house price in Munich as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the average property price in Munich sits around 8,700 to 9,100 euros per square meter across all residential types, which means a typical 75 square meter apartment costs roughly 675,000 euros (about 740,000 USD or 700,000 EUR at current exchange rates), while a 140 square meter house runs around 1.23 million euros.

To put that in perspective, apartment prices in Munich average about 9,000 euros per square meter, and houses blend around 8,800 euros per square meter, though the house figure varies hugely depending on land value, age, and energy efficiency.

If you're looking at what most buyers actually pay, roughly 80% of Munich property purchases fall somewhere between 400,000 euros and 1.5 million euros, with the lower end typically being smaller apartments in outer districts and the upper end covering family-sized homes in well-connected neighborhoods.

How much have property prices increased in Munich over the past 12 months?

Looking back from January 2026, Munich residential property prices increased by approximately 3% over the past 12 months, signaling that the market has stabilized after the 2022 to 2024 correction.

That 3% average masks some variation: apartments in Munich grew closer to 3% to 4%, while houses lagged slightly at 2% to 3% because renovation and energy upgrade costs weigh more heavily on larger properties.

The single biggest factor behind this price movement is the persistent supply shortage in Munich, which keeps demand high even when financing costs remain elevated compared to the low-rate years before 2022.

Sources and methodology: we triangulated official data from Destatis, the Deutsche Bundesbank, and Engel & Völkers district-level data. We then cross-checked with our own internal Munich market tracking. The result is a blended estimate that reflects both official statistics and real asking-price movements.

Which neighborhoods have the fastest rising property prices in Munich as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the Munich neighborhoods with the fastest rising property prices include Milbertshofen-Am Hart, Schwabing-Freimann, and Neuhausen-Nymphenburg, all of which combine improving amenities with good transport links.

These three districts have seen annual price growth in the range of 4% to 6%, outpacing the citywide average because they offer a better price-to-connectivity ratio than the ultra-prime core.

The main demand driver is straightforward: buyers priced out of central Munich are targeting these neighborhoods because they still feel accessible without paying the absolute maximum premium per square meter.

By the way, you will find much more detailed price ranges across neighborhoods in our property pack covering the real estate market in Munich.

Sources and methodology: we used district-level price tables from Engel & Völkers, cross-referenced with immowelt snapshots and Munich's official Gutachterausschuss reports. We also applied our own neighborhood momentum scoring. This combination ensures the rankings reflect both transaction data and listing trends.
statistics infographics real estate market Munich

We have made this infographic to give you a quick and clear snapshot of the property market in Germany. It highlights key facts like rental prices, yields, and property costs both in city centers and outside, so you can easily compare opportunities. We’ve done some research and also included useful insights about the country’s economy, like GDP, population, and interest rates, to help you understand the bigger picture.

Which property types are increasing faster in value in Munich as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the property types appreciating fastest in Munich rank as follows: well-located apartments lead, followed by row houses and semi-detached homes in outer districts, then new-build apartments, with detached single-family homes showing the most uneven performance.

Apartments in strong Munich districts are appreciating at roughly 3% to 4% annually, making them the top-performing property type for most buyers right now.

The main reason apartments outperform is affordability: buyers can right-size to a smaller footprint and still stay in desirable central locations, whereas houses often require larger budgets and face bigger discounts if energy efficiency is poor.

Finally, if you're interested in a specific property type, you will find our latest analyses here:

Sources and methodology: we combined Germany-wide segment signals from Destatis and Bundesbank monitoring with Munich-specific evidence from Engel & Völkers. We then applied an affordability filter based on current financing conditions. This approach captures which segments have the broadest buyer pool.

What is driving property prices up or down in Munich as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the top three factors driving Munich property prices are the chronic supply shortage, strong long-term population growth, and high rent levels that keep the buy-versus-rent calculation competitive even with elevated mortgage rates.

The single strongest upward pressure comes from Munich's tight housing supply: the city simply does not build enough homes to match demand, so even modest buyer interest pushes prices higher.

If you want to understand these factors at a deeper level, you can read our latest property market analysis about Munich here.

Sources and methodology: we triangulated demographic data from Munich's official population forecast, rent benchmarks from the Munich Mietspiegel 2025, and financing context from the European Central Bank. We also incorporated our own supply-demand modeling. The result is a balanced view of what moves Munich prices.

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What is the property price forecast for Munich in 2026?

How much are property prices expected to increase in Munich in 2026?

As of early 2026, Munich residential property prices are expected to increase by 3% to 5% over the calendar year, with apartments likely at the higher end and houses closer to the lower end of that range.

Analyst forecasts for Munich vary somewhat, but most fall between 2.5% and 5.5% growth for 2026, with the consensus clustering around the mid-3% to 4% zone.

The main assumption underlying these forecasts is that financing conditions remain stable or improve slightly, allowing suppressed demand to gradually re-enter the market without a major shock.

We go deeper and try to understand how solid are these forecasts in our pack covering the property market in Munich.

Sources and methodology: we anchored our national baseline using the Reuters analyst poll on German home prices, then adjusted upward for Munich's structural premium using city population data and vdp index trends. We also applied our proprietary Munich adjustment factor. This gives a forecast grounded in both national consensus and local fundamentals.

Which neighborhoods will see the highest price growth in Munich in 2026?

As of early 2026, the Munich neighborhoods expected to see the highest price growth include Milbertshofen-Am Hart, Schwabing-Freimann, Allach-Untermenzing, Hadern, and pockets of Neuhausen-Nymphenburg.

These districts could see price growth of 4% to 6% in 2026, slightly above the citywide average, because they combine good transport with pricing that still leaves room to run.

The primary catalyst is improved accessibility and ongoing neighborhood upgrading, which attracts buyers seeking value without sacrificing connectivity to central Munich.

One emerging area that could surprise with higher-than-expected growth is Aubing and the Freiham development zone, where the "new district" narrative is changing how buyers perceive Munich's western fringe.

By the way, we've written a blog article detailing what are the current best areas to invest in property in Munich.

Sources and methodology: we combined momentum data from Engel & Völkers with infrastructure planning from Munich's Freiham project page and Deutsche Bahn S-Bahn updates. We also layered in our own catalyst scoring model. This identifies where price runway meets real infrastructure investment.

What property types will appreciate the most in Munich in 2026?

As of early 2026, energy-efficient apartments in well-connected Munich districts are expected to appreciate the most, likely outpacing other property types by a noticeable margin.

The projected appreciation for top-performing apartments in Munich is around 4% to 5% for 2026, supported by strong demand from buyers who can finance smaller, high-quality units.

The main demand trend driving this is affordability pressure: more buyers are choosing compact, move-in-ready apartments over larger properties that require expensive renovations.

On the other hand, older detached houses with poor energy ratings are expected to underperform in Munich because buyers discount them heavily for renovation uncertainty and rising energy costs.

Sources and methodology: we used segment-level data from Destatis Q1 2025 reports, financing context from the ECB, and Munich price data from immowelt. We also incorporated our own buyer-pool analysis. This ensures the ranking reflects real purchasing power constraints.
infographics rental yields citiesMunich

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Germany versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you’re planning to invest there.

How will interest rates affect property prices in Munich in 2026?

As of early 2026, interest rates are expected to have a moderately supportive effect on Munich property prices, since rates have stabilized after their 2022 to 2023 surge and the ECB has begun cutting.

The current ECB deposit rate sits lower than its peak, and mortgage rates in Germany are expected to drift sideways or slightly down through 2026, which should help buyer affordability at the margin.

In Munich specifically, a 1% drop in mortgage rates typically translates to roughly 10% more purchasing power for buyers, which can push prices up by a similar magnitude over time as competition increases.

You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Germany.

Sources and methodology: we tracked rate decisions from the European Central Bank and connected them to affordability using Bundesbank housing indicators and our own mortgage-payment modeling. We also referenced IMF economic outlook data. This approach links macro policy to on-the-ground buyer behavior in Munich.

What are the biggest risks for property prices in Munich in 2026?

As of early 2026, the three biggest risks for Munich property prices are a sharper-than-expected economic slowdown in Germany, a renewed financing shock if rates rise again, and potential regulatory changes that could affect landlord economics or energy renovation requirements.

Among these, the highest-probability risk is an economic slowdown, because Germany's industrial base faces headwinds and any significant job insecurity would widen the gap between what buyers offer and what sellers expect.

We actually cover all these risks and their likelihoods in our pack about the real estate market in Munich.

Sources and methodology: we grounded macro risk assessment in the IMF World Economic Outlook and Destatis monitoring, then layered in Munich-specific supply data from city development plans. We also applied our own probability weighting. This ensures the risk list reflects both global and local vulnerabilities.

Is it a good time to buy a rental property in Munich in 2026?

As of early 2026, buying a rental property in Munich can work for patient investors with a long holding horizon, but it is rarely easy money because purchase prices are so high that gross yields often sit at just 2% to 3% in prime areas.

The strongest argument in favor of buying now is that Munich rents are exceptionally high and demand remains robust, so you have a solid income floor and strong long-term capital growth potential.

The strongest argument for waiting is that yields are thin, meaning your returns depend almost entirely on price appreciation, and any near-term correction would hurt more than in higher-yield markets.

If you want to know our latest analysis (results may differ from what you just read), you can read our assessment on whether now is a good time to buy a property in Munich.

You'll also find a dedicated document about this specific question in our pack about real estate in Munich.

Sources and methodology: we combined rent benchmarks from the Munich Mietspiegel 2025 with purchase prices from Engel & Völkers to calculate gross yields. We also factored in financing costs using ECB rate context. This provides a clear picture of rental investment math in Munich today.

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investing in real estate foreigner Munich

Where will property prices be in 5 years in Munich?

What is the 5-year property price forecast for Munich as of 2026?

As of early 2026, Munich property prices are expected to grow by roughly 15% to 25% cumulatively over the next five years, assuming no major economic shocks or policy disruptions.

The range of 5-year forecasts spans from a conservative 12% to 15% (if growth stays muted) to an optimistic 25% to 30% (if rates fall further and demand rebounds strongly).

This translates to an average annual appreciation rate of about 3% to 4.5% per year for Munich residential property through 2031.

The key assumption most forecasters rely on is that Munich's structural housing shortage persists, meaning demand continues to outstrip supply regardless of short-term economic cycles.

Sources and methodology: we anchored near-term growth using the Reuters analyst consensus and extended it using Munich's population projection and supply pipeline data from city development sources. We also applied our own scenario modeling. This produces a realistic corridor for long-term Munich price growth.

Which areas in Munich will have the best price growth over the next 5 years?

The Munich areas expected to deliver the best price growth over five years include Laim, Haidhausen and Berg am Laim, Milbertshofen-Am Hart, Schwabing-Freimann, and the Aubing and Freiham development zone in the west.

These areas could see cumulative 5-year growth of 20% to 35%, outperforming the citywide average thanks to a combination of improving infrastructure and relative affordability.

This differs from the shorter 2026 forecast mainly in emphasis: over five years, infrastructure projects like the 2nd S-Bahn trunk line and U9 planning become more important because buyers price in future connectivity gains.

An undervalued area with strong outperformance potential is Aubing and Freiham, where the new district development is reshaping perceptions of Munich's western edge and attracting families priced out of central neighborhoods.

Sources and methodology: we blended district momentum from Engel & Völkers with infrastructure timelines from Deutsche Bahn and MVG U9 project details. We also used our proprietary catalyst-mapping methodology. This identifies where access improvements will drive the biggest value gains.

What property type will give the best return in Munich over 5 years as of 2026?

As of early 2026, mid-size apartments with good energy standards in strong but not ultra-prime Munich districts are expected to give the best total return over five years.

The projected 5-year total return for this property type, combining appreciation and rental income, is roughly 25% to 40%, depending on location and condition.

The main structural trend favoring apartments is that they remain financeable for the broadest pool of buyers, ensuring strong resale demand whenever you choose to exit.

For investors seeking a balance of return and lower risk, row houses and semi-detached homes in well-connected outer districts offer solid appreciation potential with less volatility than ultra-prime core apartments.

Sources and methodology: we combined affordability analysis using ECB financing context with rent data from the Munich Mietspiegel and price levels from immowelt. We also applied our segment-return modeling. This identifies which property types maintain the widest buyer pool over time.

How will new infrastructure projects affect property prices in Munich over 5 years?

The three major infrastructure projects expected to impact Munich property prices over the next five years are the 2nd S-Bahn trunk line (2. Stammstrecke), the U9 metro expansion planning, and the ongoing Freiham district development in the west.

Properties near completed or announced infrastructure improvements in Munich typically command a premium of 5% to 15% over comparable properties without such access, with the premium building gradually as project delivery approaches.

The neighborhoods that will benefit most include Laim and Haidhausen for the S-Bahn project, areas along the planned U9 corridor, and Aubing and Freiham for the new district infrastructure buildout.

Sources and methodology: we used project timelines and scope from Deutsche Bahn and MVG, then cross-referenced with district pricing from Engel & Völkers. We also applied our infrastructure-premium estimation model. This quantifies how transit investment translates to property value in Munich.

How will population growth and other factors impact property values in Munich in 5 years?

Munich's official population forecast projects continued growth over the next five years, which will support property values by keeping housing demand consistently above supply in most districts.

The demographic shift with the strongest influence on Munich property demand is the rise in single-person and two-person households, which increases the number of housing units needed even if total population growth is modest.

Migration patterns, both domestic movement from other German cities and international arrivals drawn by Munich's job market, are expected to sustain property demand, especially for rental apartments and entry-level purchase options.

The property types and areas that will benefit most from these demographic trends are compact apartments in well-connected districts and family-sized units in outer neighborhoods like Freiham where new housing is actually being built.

Sources and methodology: we used Munich's official population projection and supply data from city development planning, then connected these to price trends using Bundesbank residential property data. We also incorporated our demographic-demand model. This links population dynamics directly to housing market outcomes.
infographics comparison property prices Munich

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Germany compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

What is the 10 year property price outlook in Munich?

What is the 10-year property price prediction for Munich as of 2026?

As of early 2026, Munich property prices are expected to grow by roughly 30% to 45% cumulatively over the next ten years, reflecting the city's enduring appeal and chronic housing shortage.

The range of 10-year forecasts spans from a conservative 25% to 30% (if economic headwinds persist) to an optimistic 50% or more (if Munich's tech and service economy thrives and rates stay low).

This translates to an average annual appreciation rate of about 2.7% to 3.8% per year for Munich residential property through 2036.

The biggest uncertainty factor in making 10-year predictions for Munich is the interest rate environment, because sustained high rates would compress affordability and slow price growth, while a return to very low rates could reignite rapid appreciation.

Sources and methodology: we anchored near-term expectations using Reuters consensus forecasts and extended with structural analysis from Munich's population projection and IMF economic outlook. We also applied our long-term scenario modeling with volatility buffers. This produces a realistic 10-year corridor for Munich.

What long-term economic factors will shape property prices in Munich?

The three long-term economic factors that will most shape Munich property prices over the next decade are job market strength (especially in tech, automotive, and services), real income growth relative to housing costs, and the pace of new housing construction.

The single factor with the most positive impact on Munich property values will be the city's continued role as a high-wage employment hub, which attracts talent and keeps demand structurally elevated.

The greatest structural risk is affordability erosion: if incomes fail to keep pace with housing costs, buyer pools shrink and price growth eventually stalls, even in a supply-constrained market like Munich.

You'll also find a much more detailed analysis in our pack about real estate in Munich.

Sources and methodology: we used macro baseline data from the IMF World Economic Outlook, housing market monitoring from Bundesbank indicators, and Munich planning data from city demographic projections. We also applied our structural-factor weighting framework. This identifies which economic forces will matter most for Munich property over time.

What sources have we used to write this blog article?

Whether it's in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about Munich, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can … and we don't throw out numbers at random.

We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we've listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.

Source Why it's authoritative How we used it
City of Munich Immobilienmarktbericht Official Munich valuation committee data based on recorded transactions. We used it as ground truth for what actually traded in Munich. We cross-checked private-sector asking prices against this benchmark.
Destatis Real Property Prices Germany's official statistics agency publishing national house price methodology. We used it to anchor the national direction of prices. We then scaled Munich-specific estimates around that baseline.
Destatis Q1 2025 HPI Release Official government release with clear year-over-year change rates. We used it to quantify the last 12 months of momentum at the Germany level. We triangulated this with Munich market indicators.
Deutsche Bundesbank Housing Indicators Central bank data connecting market, credit, and valuation metrics. We used it to link prices with financing conditions. We avoided making price-only forecasts that ignore borrowing capacity.
Bundesbank Residential Property Prices Statistical gateway for residential price monitoring from Germany's central bank. We used it to validate that our Munich narrative matches the broader German cycle. We used it as a second official cross-check.
vdp House Price Index Transaction-based index from banks' real data, referenced by Bundesbank. We used it to confirm the timing of the turning point after the 2022 to 2024 correction. We used it as a robustness check.
vdpResearch Methodology Explains the transaction database source and segment coverage. We used it to justify why vdp is credible as a private-sector but transparent source. We aligned segment talk with index structure.
BBSR Immobilienmarktbericht Dashboard Federal institute presenting official nationwide market reporting. We used it to cross-check Munich trends against other large cities. We supported statements about structural undersupply.
Munich Mietspiegel 2025 Official qualified rent index commissioned by the City of Munich. We used it to quantify current rent levels and rent pressure. We assessed rental yields and buy-to-let economics.
City of Munich RISI Mietspiegel Recognition Formal city record confirming the Mietspiegel's legal status. We used it to show rent data is institutionally recognized. We supported rent-growth assumptions in our scenarios.
Munich Population Forecast Official city projection used for planning housing and infrastructure. We used it to support demand fundamentals. We justified why Munich tends to revert to upward pressure after cyclical dips.
European Central Bank Rate Decisions Primary-source statement of ECB rate decisions and policy reasoning. We used it to connect financing conditions to buyer demand. We framed 2026 as a stabilizing-rate environment.
Deutsche Bahn 2nd S-Bahn Trunk Line Official project communication with current expected completion window. We used it to identify where infrastructure expectations support prices. We picked beneficiary areas around future capacity upgrades.
MVG U9 Project Page Transit operator's official explanation of scope and network impact. We used it to explain why certain districts can see a planning premium. We guided neighborhood examples for the 5 to 10 year outlook.
City of Munich Freiham Development Official page for one of Munich's largest housing growth areas. We used it to identify where supply will actually be added. We used it as a concrete example of where the city is building.
Engel & Völkers Munich Prices Established brokerage publishing structured district-level data. We used it for neighborhood examples and relative price ranking. We quantified hotspots in a consistent table format.
immowelt Munich Price Snapshot Major German property portal with standardized price snapshots. We used it as a second private-sector price lens to triangulate levels. We kept our average estimates from relying on one publisher.
Reuters Analyst Poll Transparent summary of a multi-analyst poll for consensus expectations. We used it to anchor the 2026 national forecast range. We tilted Munich slightly higher due to tighter supply and demand.
IMF World Economic Outlook International institution's authoritative macro and growth projections. We used it to ground economic assumptions for Germany. We connected global outlook to Munich's local demand drivers.

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