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What are the price trends and forecasts in Madrid right now? (2026)

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Spain Property Pack

property investment Madrid

Yes, the analysis of Madrid's property market is included in our pack

Madrid's property market is heating up, and if you're wondering what's happening to prices right now, you're in the right place.

This article breaks down the current housing prices in Madrid, where they're headed, and what it all means for buyers like you.

We constantly update this blog post with the latest data, so you're always looking at fresh numbers.

And if you're planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in Madrid.

Insights

  • Madrid property prices jumped roughly 18% to 20% in 2025, one of the strongest years on record for the Spanish capital's residential market.
  • The gap between asking prices (around 5,800 euros per square meter) and valuation prices (around 4,700 euros per square meter) in Madrid suggests buyers can still negotiate below listed prices.
  • Districts like Ciudad Lineal and Puente de Vallecas saw over 23% price growth in 2025, outpacing Madrid's wealthy central neighborhoods.
  • Madrid's gross rental yield sits at around 4.8%, which is lower than other Spanish cities but backed by extremely strong tenant demand.
  • The Metro Line 11 extension connecting Plaza Eliptica to Conde de Casal is attracting a 671 million euro investment, likely boosting property values along the corridor.
  • Madrid's prime districts like Salamanca now command nearly 10,000 euros per square meter, making them some of Spain's most expensive neighborhoods.
  • Energy-efficient and newly renovated homes in Madrid are appreciating faster than older properties as buyers factor in long-term running costs.
  • BBVA Research forecasts Spanish property prices to rise around 5.3% nationally in 2026, but Madrid is expected to outperform at 6% to 8%.
  • Over the next 10 years, Madrid property prices could grow between 41% and 71% cumulatively, assuming no major economic shocks disrupt the market.
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Anna Siudzinska 🇵🇱

Real Estate Agent

Anna Siudzińska is a skilled business strategist and experienced manager, specializing in sales, marketing, and corporate growth. With a wealth of experience in international markets, she possesses in-depth knowledge of Madrid’s real estate sector, guiding clients toward profitable investments and market advantages.

What are the current property price trends in Madrid as of 2026?

What is the average house price in Madrid as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the estimated average property price in Madrid is around 440,000 euros (approximately 460,000 US dollars or 425,000 British pounds), based on a typical home size of roughly 90 square meters.

When you look at prices per square meter in Madrid, asking prices on major portals sit around 5,820 euros, while valuation-based estimates from appraisers come in closer to 4,670 euros, giving you a realistic deal range somewhere in between at roughly 5,100 euros per square meter.

For most buyers in Madrid, the realistic price range covering about 80% of property purchases falls between 250,000 euros and 700,000 euros (roughly 260,000 to 730,000 US dollars, or 240,000 to 675,000 British pounds), depending on size, location, and condition of the property.

How much have property prices increased in Madrid over the past 12 months?

Property prices in Madrid increased by an estimated 18% to 20% over the past 12 months, making 2025 one of the hottest years for the city's residential market in recent memory.

Across different property types in Madrid, the range of price increases varied from roughly 15% for some older apartments to over 22% for well-located family homes in improving districts.

The single most significant factor behind this price surge in Madrid was the persistent gap between housing supply and demand, as the city simply did not build enough new homes to keep up with population growth and household formation.

Sources and methodology: we combined asking-price data from Idealista with valuation-based figures from Tinsa and official transaction records from Colegio de Registradores. We triangulated these different measurement approaches to arrive at a confident estimate. Our own analysis and proprietary data helped validate the final range.

Which neighborhoods have the fastest rising property prices in Madrid as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the three neighborhoods with the fastest rising property prices in Madrid are Ciudad Lineal, Puente de Vallecas, and Latina, all of which have seen exceptional year-on-year growth.

Ciudad Lineal and Puente de Vallecas each recorded approximately 23% annual price growth, while Latina came in close behind at around 22.8% over the same period.

The main demand driver behind these fast-rising Madrid neighborhoods is affordability displacement, meaning buyers who got priced out of central areas are now bidding up prices in well-connected outer districts with good Metro and Cercanias access.

By the way, you will find much more detailed price ranges across neighborhoods in our property pack covering the real estate market in Madrid.

Sources and methodology: we used district-level data from Idealista for neighborhood momentum and cross-referenced with the Banco de Espana Financial Stability Report and Community of Madrid housing bulletins. We interpreted the patterns through the lens of supply constraints and affordability pressures. Our proprietary analysis helped refine the final rankings.
statistics infographics real estate market Madrid

We have made this infographic to give you a quick and clear snapshot of the property market in Spain. It highlights key facts like rental prices, yields, and property costs both in city centers and outside, so you can easily compare opportunities. We’ve done some research and also included useful insights about the country’s economy, like GDP, population, and interest rates, to help you understand the bigger picture.

Which property types are increasing faster in value in Madrid as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the ranking of property types by value appreciation in Madrid places family apartments (2 to 3 bedrooms) in improving outer districts at the top, followed by energy-efficient newer homes, then townhouses in commute-friendly areas, and finally penthouses in prime central locations.

The top-performing property type in Madrid, family apartments in well-connected outer districts, has seen annual appreciation of roughly 20% to 23%, outpacing the city average.

The main reason these family apartments are outperforming other property types in Madrid is that they represent the "substitution choice" for buyers who can no longer afford central neighborhoods but still want practical, livable space with good transport links.

Finally, if you're interested in a specific property type, you will find our latest analyses here:

Sources and methodology: we analyzed the "new vs resale" divergence from INE's House Price Index and combined it with segmentation data from Idealista and Tinsa. We then mapped these patterns to Madrid's specific buyer behavior. Our internal analysis helped validate the property type rankings.

What is driving property prices up or down in Madrid as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the top three factors driving property prices in Madrid are the persistent supply bottleneck (demand outpacing new home delivery), stabilizing credit conditions after the inflation peak, and Madrid's strong job market gravity that keeps pulling in new residents.

The single factor with the strongest upward pressure on Madrid property prices right now is the supply shortage, as the city has consistently failed to deliver enough new homes in the places where people most want to live.

If you want to understand these factors at a deeper level, you can read our latest property market analysis about Madrid here.

Sources and methodology: we relied on the Banco de Espana Financial Stability Report for macro risk framing and INE for cycle confirmation, alongside CaixaBank Research outlook reports. We tailored these national insights to Madrid using city-level price series. Our proprietary demand-supply analysis helped complete the picture.

Get fresh and reliable information about the market in Madrid

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buying property foreigner Madrid

What is the property price forecast for Madrid in 2026?

How much are property prices expected to increase in Madrid in 2026?

As of early 2026, property prices in Madrid are expected to increase by approximately 6% to 8% over the course of the year, which is higher than the national Spanish average.

The range of forecasts from different analysts for Madrid property price growth in 2026 spans from around 5% on the conservative end to roughly 9% in more optimistic scenarios.

The main assumption underlying most price increase forecasts for Madrid is that housing supply will continue to lag behind demand, keeping upward pressure on prices even as the market cools from its 2025 surge.

We go deeper and try to understand how solid are these forecasts in our pack covering the property market in Madrid.

Sources and methodology: we anchored our forecast using BBVA Research's national price forecast and adjusted upward for Madrid based on CaixaBank Research cycle analysis and Idealista momentum data. We factored in Madrid's tighter supply constraints compared to Spain overall. Our internal models helped calibrate the final range.

Which neighborhoods will see the highest price growth in Madrid in 2026?

As of early 2026, the neighborhoods expected to see the highest price growth in Madrid include Puente de Vallecas, Villaverde, Carabanchel, and the Plaza Eliptica to Madrid Rio corridor, all benefiting from catch-up momentum and infrastructure improvements.

These top Madrid neighborhoods are projected to see price growth of 8% to 12% in 2026, outperforming the city average thanks to their relative affordability and improving connectivity.

The primary catalyst driving expected growth in these Madrid neighborhoods is the combination of buyer displacement from expensive central areas and major transport investments like the Metro Line 11 extension.

One emerging neighborhood in Madrid that could surprise with higher-than-expected growth is Vicalvaro, which sits along the southeast development axis and benefits from both new housing projects and improving rail connections.

By the way, we've written a blog article detailing what are the current best areas to invest in property in Madrid.

Sources and methodology: we identified momentum districts using Idealista year-on-year data and overlaid infrastructure announcements from Metro de Madrid and La Moncloa's Cercanias plan. We then assessed which areas would benefit most from improved connectivity. Our own neighborhood-level analysis refined these predictions.

What property types will appreciate the most in Madrid in 2026?

As of early 2026, the property type expected to appreciate the most in Madrid is mid-market apartments with 2 to 3 bedrooms located in well-connected outer districts with good Metro access.

This top-performing property type in Madrid is projected to see appreciation of roughly 8% to 10% in 2026, benefiting from strong buyer demand and limited new supply in these areas.

The main demand trend driving appreciation for these Madrid apartments is the growing number of families and young professionals seeking affordable space without sacrificing commute times to central employment hubs.

The property type expected to underperform in Madrid in 2026 is older unrenovated apartments in prime central districts, as their high entry prices and renovation costs make them less attractive compared to move-in ready alternatives.

Sources and methodology: we combined Spain's property type dynamics from INE with Madrid-specific segmentation from Idealista and valuation trends from Tinsa. We analyzed buyer preferences and affordability thresholds. Our proprietary data on transaction patterns helped validate the type rankings.
infographics rental yields citiesMadrid

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Spain versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you’re planning to invest there.

How will interest rates affect property prices in Madrid in 2026?

As of early 2026, stabilizing interest rates are expected to support continued property price growth in Madrid, though the city's significant cash and equity buyer segment makes prices somewhat less rate-sensitive than in other markets.

The European Central Bank's benchmark rates have been gradually easing from their inflation-fighting peak, and mortgage rates in Madrid are expected to remain relatively stable or edge slightly lower through 2026.

A 1% change in interest rates typically affects property affordability in Madrid by shifting monthly mortgage payments by roughly 10% to 12%, which can either unlock or lock out a meaningful portion of mid-market buyers depending on the direction.

You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Spain.

Sources and methodology: we used the Banco de Espana credit and financial stability analysis alongside BBVA Research and CaixaBank Research macro housing forecasts. We then applied these findings to Madrid's buyer mix. Our internal affordability models helped quantify the rate sensitivity.

What are the biggest risks for property prices in Madrid in 2026?

As of early 2026, the three biggest risks for property prices in Madrid are an affordability breaking point where buyers simply cannot stretch further, a macroeconomic shock causing rising unemployment, and policy changes that could reduce investor appetite for residential property.

The risk with the highest probability of materializing in Madrid is the affordability constraint, as prices have risen so fast that an increasing number of potential buyers may be pushed out of the market, which could slow or stall price growth.

We actually cover all these risks and their likelihoods in our pack about the real estate market in Madrid.

Sources and methodology: we drew the risk framework from the Banco de Espana Financial Stability Report and cross-checked against price acceleration data from INE and Idealista. We assessed likelihood based on current market conditions. Our proprietary risk scoring model helped rank the threats.

Is it a good time to buy a rental property in Madrid in 2026?

As of early 2026, buying a rental property in Madrid can still be a solid investment for the right buyer, but you need to be selective because high purchase prices mean tighter yields compared to other Spanish cities.

The strongest argument in favor of buying a rental property now in Madrid is the city's exceptional rental demand, driven by a constant flow of workers, students, and professionals who need housing but cannot afford to buy.

The strongest argument for waiting before buying a rental property in Madrid is that gross yields currently sit around 4.8%, which may not provide enough cushion if prices correct or rental regulations tighten.

If you want to know our latest analysis (results may differ from what you just read), you can read our assessment on whether now is a good time to buy a property in Madrid.

You'll also find a dedicated document about this specific question in our pack about real estate in Madrid.

Sources and methodology: we used rental yield data from Idealista and interpreted sustainability through the lens of Eurostat rent-price trends and Banco de Espana rental market analysis. We weighed both buy and wait arguments carefully. Our proprietary investment scoring helped shape the final assessment.

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investing in real estate foreigner Madrid

Where will property prices be in 5 years in Madrid?

What is the 5-year property price forecast for Madrid as of 2026?

As of early 2026, cumulative property price growth in Madrid over the next 5 years is expected to fall in the range of 22% to 34%, assuming no major economic shocks disrupt the market.

The range of 5-year forecasts for Madrid spans from around 20% in conservative scenarios (assuming affordability constraints bite hard) to approximately 40% in optimistic scenarios (assuming continued strong demand and limited supply).

The projected average annual appreciation rate for Madrid property over the next 5 years is roughly 4% to 6% per year, which represents a moderation from the exceptional 2025 surge.

The key assumption most forecasters rely on for their 5-year Madrid property predictions is that housing supply will continue to fall short of demand, keeping the structural upward pressure on prices intact even during slower years.

Sources and methodology: we extended near-term forecasts from BBVA Research and CaixaBank Research using a conservative cycle assumption consistent with Banco de Espana risk framing. We assumed no bubble dynamics in the base case. Our internal projection models helped calibrate the range.

Which areas in Madrid will have the best price growth over the next 5 years?

The top three areas in Madrid expected to have the best price growth over the next 5 years are the Metro Line 11 corridor (Plaza Eliptica, Madrid Rio, Comillas, Conde de Casal), the northern growth axis around Chamartin and Las Tablas influenced by Madrid Nuevo Norte, and outer districts with strong Cercanias connections.

These top-performing Madrid areas could see 5-year cumulative price growth of 30% to 45%, outperforming the city average thanks to infrastructure improvements and development momentum.

This 5-year outlook is largely consistent with our shorter forecast, but the infrastructure theme becomes more pronounced over time as projects move from planning to completion and the accessibility premium fully materializes.

The currently undervalued area in Madrid with the best potential for outperformance over 5 years is Vicalvaro, which combines relatively affordable entry prices with improving connectivity and proximity to the southeast development zone.

Sources and methodology: we mapped infrastructure commitments from Metro de Madrid, La Moncloa, and Madrid Nuevo Norte announcements to neighborhood-level demand shifts. We assessed commute time improvements and development timelines. Our proprietary area scoring model helped rank growth potential.

What property type will give the best return in Madrid over 5 years as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the property type expected to give the best total return over 5 years in Madrid is a good-quality 2-bedroom apartment in a well-connected, still-improving district with strong rental demand.

The projected 5-year total return for this top-performing property type in Madrid, combining both appreciation and rental income, is roughly 45% to 60%, assuming moderate price growth and consistent rental yields.

The main structural trend favoring this property type over the next 5 years in Madrid is the growing mismatch between household formation (more smaller households) and housing stock, which keeps demand strong for practical, well-located apartments.

For buyers seeking the best balance of return and lower risk over 5 years in Madrid, a 2-bedroom apartment near a major Metro station in an established (but not prime-priced) district offers solid liquidity, steady tenant demand, and reasonable appreciation potential.

Sources and methodology: we combined Madrid's catch-up district momentum from Idealista with yield data and tenant demand patterns from Idealista rental reports and Banco de Espana housing analysis. We assessed liquidity and risk factors. Our internal return models helped quantify the projections.

How will new infrastructure projects affect property prices in Madrid over 5 years?

The top three major infrastructure projects expected to impact property prices in Madrid over the next 5 years are the Metro Line 11 extension (Plaza Eliptica to Conde de Casal), the Cercanias modernization and station upgrade program, and the early phases of Madrid Nuevo Norte development.

Properties near completed infrastructure projects in Madrid typically command a price premium of 5% to 15% compared to similar properties further from transit, with the effect growing stronger as stations open and service quality improves.

The specific neighborhoods that will benefit most from these Madrid infrastructure developments include Comillas, Madrid Rio, Plaza Eliptica, Conde de Casal (from Metro Line 11), Las Tablas and Chamartin (from Madrid Nuevo Norte), and various suburban nodes along upgraded Cercanias lines.

Sources and methodology: we documented infrastructure projects using official sources including Metro de Madrid, Renfe, and Madrid Nuevo Norte announcements. We translated each project into neighborhood-level convenience improvements. Our proprietary transit-premium analysis helped estimate the price effects.

How will population growth and other factors impact property values in Madrid in 5 years?

Madrid is projected to continue growing by roughly 0.5% to 1% annually over the next 5 years, and this population growth will support property values by maintaining pressure on an already tight housing market.

The demographic shift with the strongest influence on property demand in Madrid is the rise of single-person and smaller households, which means even modest population growth translates into disproportionately higher demand for housing units.

Migration patterns, both domestic (Spaniards moving to Madrid for work) and international (continued inflows of professionals and students), are expected to keep rental demand high and support property values in Madrid over the next 5 years.

The property types and areas that will benefit most from these demographic trends in Madrid are compact apartments (1 to 2 bedrooms) in well-connected districts with good public transport, strong local amenities, and proximity to employment centers.

Sources and methodology: we grounded our population and demand analysis in INE demographic data and Banco de Espana housing imbalance framing, alongside Community of Madrid housing bulletins. We connected these trends to Madrid's supply constraints. Our internal demographic models helped project the impact.
infographics comparison property prices Madrid

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Spain compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

What is the 10 year property price outlook in Madrid?

What is the 10-year property price prediction for Madrid as of 2026?

As of early 2026, cumulative property price growth in Madrid over the next 10 years is expected to fall in the range of 41% to 71%, based on conservative to optimistic assumptions about economic conditions and housing supply.

The range of 10-year forecasts for Madrid spans from around 35% in pessimistic scenarios (prolonged economic weakness or major policy shifts) to approximately 80% in bullish scenarios (continued strong demand with supply remaining constrained).

The projected average annual appreciation rate for Madrid property over the next 10 years is roughly 3.5% to 5.5% per year, representing a normalization from the exceptional 2025 surge toward long-term trend growth.

The biggest uncertainty factor in making 10-year property price predictions for Madrid is the pace of new housing construction, as a significant increase in supply could moderate price growth, while continued undersupply would push prices even higher.

Sources and methodology: we extended our 5-year logic using long-run economic assumptions from OECD Spain outlook and Banco de Espana housing risk framing, alongside BBVA Research cycle analysis. We assumed no extreme imbalances in the base case. Our proprietary long-term models helped calibrate the ranges.

What long-term economic factors will shape property prices in Madrid?

The top three long-term economic factors that will shape property prices in Madrid over the next decade are the city's role in Spain's knowledge and services economy (jobs), transport capacity and reliability (Metro and Cercanias), and the pace of housing delivery (new construction).

The single long-term economic factor with the most positive impact on Madrid property values is the city's job market gravity, as Madrid continues to attract businesses, talent, and investment that drive housing demand.

The single long-term economic factor posing the greatest structural risk to Madrid property values is real income stagnation, because if wages do not keep pace with housing costs, demand will eventually hit a ceiling that limits further price growth.

You'll also find a much more detailed analysis in our pack about real estate in Madrid.

Sources and methodology: we combined macro outlook context from the OECD with Spain's housing-cycle framing from Banco de Espana and bank research from CaixaBank Research. We applied these factors specifically to Madrid's infrastructure-and-supply story. Our internal economic models helped assess the relative importance of each factor.

What sources have we used to write this blog article?

Whether it's in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about Madrid, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can … and we don't throw out numbers at random.

We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we've listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.

Source Why It's Authoritative How We Used It
INE (Spain's National Statistics Institute) Spain's official statistics agency and the benchmark source for the House Price Index. We used it to anchor the national price cycle and compare new-build vs resale dynamics in Madrid.
MIVAU (Ministry of Housing) The Spanish government's official housing statistics portal for standardized data. We used it as an "official-level" euros per square meter yardstick to cross-check portal asking prices.
Banco de Espana Spain's central bank tracks housing risks and valuation signals. We used it to judge whether Madrid looks overheated versus fundamentals and to frame risk factors.
Colegio de Registradores Based on property registry records from completed transactions, not ads. We used it to cross-check price momentum using transaction-based indicators and volume trends.
Notariado (Notaries) Notaries sit at the moment of sale, making their data as "real" as it gets. We used it to validate that the upswing is not just asking prices on portals.
Idealista The largest public portal dataset for Spain with transparent methodology. We used it for current market pulse and district-level winners and losers in Madrid.
Fotocasa Another major portal index helpful for cross-checking portal-based trends. We used it as a second portal datapoint to reduce single-source bias and confirm direction.
Tinsa A major Spanish valuation firm whose index is widely cited in Spain. We used it as a valuation-based middle ground between registry prices and portal asking prices.
CaixaBank Research A major bank research team with a clear macro and housing framework. We used it for scenario thinking on demand drivers and cycle position into 2026.
BBVA Research Another major bank research team with explicit price forecasts. We used BBVA's national forecast as a baseline, then adjusted for Madrid's tighter supply-demand.
Eurostat The EU's official statistics office for house prices and rents. We used it to place Madrid in a broader EU context and sanity-check the direction of trends.
Community of Madrid Housing Bulletin Produced by the regional statistics institute using official admin sources. We used it to ground Madrid-region narratives in an official compilation of transactions and mortgages.
Metro de Madrid The official operator for a major infrastructure project in the capital. We used it to identify where transport-driven demand may strengthen along the Line 11 corridor.
La Moncloa (Spanish Government) An official government release on commuter rail modernization plans. We used it to support the long-run accessibility premium story across Madrid's rail-linked suburbs.
Renfe The national rail operator describing funded station improvements. We used it to pinpoint practical near-term quality upgrades that can shift micro-demand in neighborhoods.
Cinco Dias (Madrid Nuevo Norte) A major business publication covering the largest urban development project in Madrid. We used it to understand the timeline and impact of the northward development on property values.
OECD Economic Outlook International organization providing macro context for Spain's economy. We used it to ground long-term economic assumptions underlying our 10-year forecasts.

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