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Biggest problems with Lisbon property market

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Portugal Property Pack

property investment Lisbon

Yes, the analysis of Lisbon's property market is included in our pack

Lisbon's property market faces significant challenges with prices nearly doubling over five years while wages stagnate.

High transaction costs, strict mortgage requirements for foreigners, and new restrictions on short-term rentals are reshaping investment strategies. The Golden Visa program no longer covers residential property in Lisbon, reducing foreign demand but prices remain elevated due to housing shortages and infrastructure limitations in certain neighborhoods.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Portugal, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At INVESTROPA, we explore the Portuguese real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Lisbon, Porto, and Coimbra. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

How much have property prices in Lisbon increased in the past five years, and how do they compare with average wages?

Lisbon property prices have experienced explosive growth that far outpaces local income increases, creating a severe affordability crisis.

Property prices jumped from €3,000-3,500 per square meter in 2020 to €5,642 per square meter by June 2025, representing a 60-100% increase depending on the area. Prime central locations now exceed €10,000 per square meter, making them unattainable for most local buyers.

Average monthly wages in Lisbon range from €2,215 to €3,755 as of 2025, while the national median sits at just €1,741 per month. This wage growth has been minimal compared to the property price surge, creating a widening gap between earning capacity and housing costs.

The median home price in central Lisbon reached €650,000 by May 2025, which would require a household income of approximately €130,000 annually to qualify for a mortgage under standard lending criteria. This income level is far above what most Portuguese families earn, pushing local buyers toward suburban areas or out of the market entirely.

This disconnect between wages and property values represents one of the most significant barriers to homeownership in Lisbon today.

What are the current mortgage interest rates in Portugal, and how accessible are bank loans for foreign buyers?

Portuguese mortgage rates currently average 3.2% to 3.9% in mid-2025, with some prime borrowers securing rates below 3%.

Foreign buyers face significantly stricter lending criteria than Portuguese residents. Non-resident borrowers typically encounter loan-to-value limits of 60-75%, requiring down payments of 25-40% of the property value. This represents a substantial barrier compared to the 10-20% deposits often available to local buyers.

Portuguese banks scrutinize foreign applicants' income stability, employment history, and source of funds more rigorously. Documentation requirements include proof of income, tax returns, bank statements, and sometimes additional guarantees. The approval process can take 2-3 months longer for foreign buyers compared to domestic applicants.

Interest rates for non-residents are often 0.2-0.5 percentage points higher than those offered to Portuguese citizens. Banks also require foreign buyers to open Portuguese bank accounts and may mandate property insurance through specific providers, adding to the overall cost structure.

It's something we develop in our Portugal property pack.

How high are the property taxes, transaction fees, and hidden costs when buying a home in Lisbon?

Total transaction costs for property purchases in Lisbon typically range from 6-9% of the property value, representing a significant upfront expense beyond the purchase price.

Cost Type Rate/Amount Details
IMT Transfer Tax Up to 7.5% Progressive rate based on property value
Stamp Duty 0.8% Fixed rate on purchase price
Legal Fees €1,500-€3,000 Lawyer and notary costs
Registration Fees €200-€500 Land registry and administrative costs
Property Survey €300-€800 Technical inspection and valuation
Bank Fees €500-€1,500 Mortgage arrangement and processing
Insurance €200-€600 annually Property and mortgage protection

Annual property taxes include the IMI tax ranging from 0.3-0.5% in urban areas, potentially reaching 0.8% for rural properties. Properties valued above €600,000 face an additional wealth tax of 0.7% annually.

Rental income taxation applies at 28% on gross rental income, though some deductions are available for maintenance and management costs. These ongoing costs significantly impact net returns for investment properties.

What's the availability of affordable housing in central Lisbon compared with the suburbs?

Central Lisbon faces an acute shortage of affordable housing, with stark price differences between the city center and suburban areas.

Average property prices in central Lisbon reached €650,000 by May 2025, with average rents at €1,751 per month. These figures represent the highest costs in Portugal and place central accommodation beyond reach for most Portuguese families.

Suburban areas offer substantially lower prices, typically 30-50% cheaper than central locations. Areas like Alenquer show prices around €1,402 per square meter, while Vila Franca de Xira averages €2,071 per square meter, compared to €5,634 per square meter in Lisbon's center.

Within Lisbon's municipal boundaries, neighborhoods like Marvila and Olivais provide more accessible options, though prices in these areas are rising rapidly due to increased demand from priced-out buyers. Even these "affordable" areas now command prices that would have been considered expensive just five years ago.

The wider metropolitan region offers the most affordable options, with municipalities like Moita and Covilhã providing significantly lower entry costs, though commuting times and infrastructure access become limiting factors for many buyers.

How strict are the regulations around short-term rentals like Airbnb, and how do they affect property values?

Lisbon has implemented increasingly restrictive regulations on short-term rentals, fundamentally changing the investment landscape for property buyers.

All short-term rental properties require an Alojamento Local (AL) license, with mandatory registration for platforms like Airbnb. Since 2023-2025, most new short-term rental licenses are banned or severely restricted in central neighborhoods designated as containment zones.

Existing licenses face stricter compliance requirements and can be revoked if operators fail to meet new standards. Municipalities now have expanded powers to limit new licenses, particularly when the proportion of short-term rental units exceeds locally determined thresholds.

These regulations have reduced speculative investment in central Lisbon properties previously bought specifically for Airbnb operations. Some neighborhoods that experienced rapid price growth driven by short-term rental demand have seen moderated price increases, though the overall citywide impact remains limited.

Property values in areas heavily dependent on tourist rental income face uncertainty, while traditional residential areas may benefit from reduced competition from investment buyers. The regulatory environment continues evolving, with annual reviews potentially introducing further restrictions.

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What's the average rental yield in Lisbon today, and is it higher or lower than in other major European cities?

Lisbon's rental yields are moderate compared to other European capitals, reflecting the city's high property values relative to rental income potential.

Gross rental yields for apartments in Lisbon currently range from 3.9% to 4.7%, with studios and smaller units typically achieving yields closer to 4-5%. These figures represent returns before accounting for taxes, maintenance, management costs, and vacancy periods.

Compared to other Portuguese cities, Lisbon's yields are lower than those available in Porto, Braga, and southern or inland cities, which often deliver 4.5-6.5% gross returns. This reflects Lisbon's premium property prices that haven't been matched by proportional rental rate increases.

Against major European cities, Lisbon's yields are competitive but not exceptional. Cities like Berlin, Budapest, and some Eastern European capitals may offer higher yields, though Lisbon compensates with market stability, liquidity, and lower political risk.

Net yields after taxes and expenses typically fall to 2.5-3.5%, which may not provide sufficient returns for investors seeking strong cash flow, particularly given the 28% tax rate on rental income and ongoing property maintenance costs.

How long does it typically take to sell a property in Lisbon, and how liquid is the market right now?

Lisbon's property market maintains relatively good liquidity despite national market fluctuations, though sale times vary significantly by property type and location.

Prime properties in central locations typically sell within 1-3 months when priced correctly and properly marketed. These include renovated apartments in desirable neighborhoods, properties near metro lines, and units suitable for international buyers or investors.

Peripheral properties or those requiring significant renovation may remain on the market for 6-12 months or longer. Properties with legal complications, unclear titles, or located in less connected neighborhoods face extended marketing periods.

The market rebounded strongly in 2024-2025 after a temporary slowdown in 2023, with transaction volumes increasing and buyer confidence returning. This recovery has improved liquidity for sellers, particularly those offering move-in ready properties.

Market liquidity remains best for properties priced under €500,000 and those offering clear value propositions to either end-users or investors. Luxury properties above €1 million face a smaller buyer pool and correspondingly longer sale periods.

How transparent is the buying process in Lisbon, and what risks exist around legal disputes or unclear ownership titles?

The Portuguese property buying process is generally transparent and secure when handled through qualified legal professionals, though several risks require careful attention.

Standard due diligence includes title confirmation, lien searches, planning permission verification, and compliance checks for building regulations. A qualified lawyer performing comprehensive legal review significantly reduces risks of future disputes or complications.

Common risks include unclear renovation permits, particularly in older properties where previous owners made undocumented alterations. Properties with unregistered improvements or extensions can face legal challenges or valuation discrepancies during sale or mortgage processes.

Co-ownership disputes occasionally arise in apartment buildings or inherited properties where multiple parties hold interests. Unresolved neighborhood disputes, unpaid condominium fees, or disagreements over common area maintenance can complicate transactions.

Reservation agreements provide limited legal protection compared to formal promissory contracts. Buyers relying solely on informal agreements risk losing deposits or facing complications if sellers change terms or accept competing offers.

It's something we develop in our Portugal property pack.

How does the Golden Visa program affect demand and prices, and is it still a reliable option for investors?

The Golden Visa program underwent major changes in late 2023 that significantly reduced its impact on Lisbon's residential property market.

Residential property purchases in Lisbon, Porto, and coastal areas no longer qualify for Golden Visa status as of late 2023. Investment must now target interior or low-density areas, alternative investment funds, company creation, or cultural donations to maintain program eligibility.

This change has reduced speculative demand from non-EU investors who previously drove significant price increases in central Lisbon. Many international buyers who specifically sought Golden Visa qualification have shifted focus to eligible rural areas or alternative investment routes.

Current Golden Visa options include investment funds (€500,000 minimum), company creation with job requirements, cultural preservation projects, or property purchases in designated low-density areas. These alternatives are less attractive to investors seeking liquid, manageable real estate investments.

The program remains reliable for qualifying investments, but the removal of Lisbon residential property has diminished its relevance for most property investors. This policy shift aims to redirect foreign investment toward regional development while cooling Lisbon's overheated property market.

infographics rental yields citiesLisbon

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Portugal versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

What's the level of foreign demand for Lisbon property today compared with domestic demand, and how is that shaping prices?

Foreign buyers represent approximately 40% of Lisbon's property transactions, with significantly higher percentages in central neighborhoods, creating substantial pressure on local housing affordability.

International buyers, particularly from the United States, United Kingdom, and other EU countries, typically purchase higher-value properties and often pay cash, giving them competitive advantages over domestic buyers requiring mortgages. This dynamic drives prices beyond levels sustainable for local wages.

Domestic buyers are increasingly displaced from central Lisbon, with younger Portuguese families moving to suburban areas or secondary cities where prices remain more accessible. This geographic sorting creates gentrification pressures and reduces neighborhood diversity.

Foreign demand remains strong despite Golden Visa changes, driven by lifestyle factors, Portugal's tax benefits for non-habitual residents, and Lisbon's appeal as a European base. Many international buyers view Portuguese property as undervalued compared to other Western European capitals.

The continued strength of foreign demand, combined with limited housing supply, maintains upward pressure on prices even as domestic purchasing power stagnates. This dynamic suggests prices will remain elevated until supply significantly increases or foreign buyer incentives diminish.

How severe is the housing shortage in Lisbon, and how many new residential units are being built each year?

Lisbon faces an acute housing shortage with construction rates far below demand requirements, creating persistent upward pressure on both purchase prices and rents.

National and local authorities target approximately 59,000 new homes by 2030, but progress remains slow with urban construction consistently lagging behind population growth and household formation projections. Current completion rates fall short of addressing accumulated housing deficits.

The shortage is particularly severe in affordable housing segments, where supply of reasonably priced units fails to meet demand from local buyers and renters. Most new construction targets higher-end markets due to land costs and regulatory requirements that make affordable development financially challenging.

Construction constraints include limited available land in central areas, complex permitting processes, labor shortages in the construction sector, and high material costs. These factors combine to slow development timelines and increase final unit costs.

Annual housing completion rates across the Lisbon metropolitan area remain insufficient to stabilize the market, with new supply quickly absorbed by accumulated demand. This supply-demand imbalance suggests continued price pressure until construction significantly accelerates or demand factors change substantially.

It's something we develop in our Portugal property pack.

What are the main infrastructure, transportation, or quality-of-life issues that make certain Lisbon neighborhoods less attractive for buyers?

Several infrastructure and connectivity limitations create significant value disparities between Lisbon neighborhoods, affecting both livability and investment potential.

Transportation access varies dramatically across the city, with areas lacking metro connections facing longer commute times and greater dependence on bus services that can be unreliable during peak hours. Neighborhoods without direct metro access typically trade at discounts to well-connected areas.

Bridge congestion affects residents of the South Bay (Margem Sul), where crossing the Tagus River during rush hours can add 30-60 minutes to commute times. This connectivity challenge makes these areas less attractive despite lower property prices.

Unequal distribution of amenities creates quality-of-life disparities, with some neighborhoods lacking adequate schools, healthcare facilities, shopping, or recreational spaces. Areas with limited amenities struggle to attract families and long-term residents.

Parking scarcity in central neighborhoods poses ongoing challenges for residents with vehicles, while some outer areas lack sufficient commercial and entertainment options. These factors influence both rental demand and resale values.

Historical infrastructure in older neighborhoods sometimes includes aging electrical systems, narrow streets unsuitable for modern traffic, or buildings requiring expensive upgrades to meet current standards. These issues can affect both purchase costs and ongoing maintenance expenses.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. INVESTROPA - Lisbon Price Forecasts
  2. Immo Lusitania - Portugal House Prices June 2025
  3. 9CV9 - Portugal Salary Levels 2025
  4. Idealista - Wages in Portugal 2025
  5. Portugal Property - Mortgage Rates Outlook 2025-2026
  6. Chase Buchanan - Property Taxes in Portugal
  7. Airbtics - Airbnb Rules in Lisbon
  8. Global Property Guide - Portugal Rental Yields
  9. Belion Partners - Portugal Golden Visa 2025 Changes
  10. Global Citizen Solutions - Portugal Real Estate Market