Buying real estate in Bergen?

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What are the biggest property risks in Bergen?

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SUMMARY

The biggest property risks in Bergen today are overpaying after a rapid price run, carrying too much floating-rate debt, and underestimating building- or location-specific costs.

Bergen itself does not currently look like a market preparing for a broad collapse. Used-home prices are up sharply, rents remain strong and new housing construction is unusually low, so the larger danger is buying the wrong property at the wrong price rather than simply owning property in Bergen.

Recent performance has actually made entry risk higher. Bergen used to have a clearer scarcity argument before much of that story was reflected in prices; buyers now have to be more careful about treating recent double-digit growth as a normal forward return.

The housing shortage is real, but it is not permanent insurance against falling prices. Bergen completed only 499 homes in 2024, yet a stronger planning pipeline could eventually increase supply, while expensive credit can restrict what households are able to pay long before the shortage disappears.

Leverage is especially unforgiving after a boom. A buyer using Norway's 90% loan-to-value ceiling can lose half of their initial housing equity after only a 5% price decline, before transaction and selling costs are considered.

Bergen's rental boom also looks better from the tenant's payment than from the landlord's spreadsheet. Gross yields around 4% to 5% can leave very little cash after mortgage interest, common charges, maintenance, vacancy and tax when new borrowing still costs more than 5%.

Some of the most important risks never appear in Bergen-wide price statistics. Common debt in a borettslag, planned rehabilitation, ageing pipes, roofs, drainage and façades can change the economics of an apparently cheap apartment far more than a small move in citywide prices.

Geography creates another layer of risk. Flooding, stormwater and landslide exposure can vary sharply from one address to the next, which makes district-level assumptions particularly unreliable for waterfront, basement and hillside properties.

Short holding periods are harder to defend because transaction costs create a meaningful hurdle. A freehold buyer can lose 2.5% of the property's value to document duty at purchase before financing, maintenance and eventual selling expenses enter the calculation.

The practical conclusion is that Bergen still offers attractive property under the right conditions, but recent strength should make buyers more selective rather than more relaxed. A comfortable mortgage, a sensible purchase price, clean building finances and address-specific due diligence matter more now than betting on another year of exceptional appreciation.

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What are the biggest property risks in Bergen?

Is buying Bergen property riskier now that prices have risen so fast?

Yes. The biggest Bergen property risk right now is paying a boom-market price for a home that only makes sense if the boom continues.

Bergen has been one of Norway's strongest housing markets. Statistics Norway's latest quarterly index put used-home prices 11.3% higher than a year earlier, versus 4.4% nationally. Bergen also gained 2.3% in the latest quarter after seasonal adjustment, the strongest increase among the major-city regions measured by SSB.

That strength has real foundations. Housing construction is unusually low, rents have jumped and buyers are still competing for limited stock. But the price already reflects much of that good news.

Two years ago, a buyer could reasonably argue that Bergen looked cheap relative to tightening supply. Today, the same buyer is entering after a large repricing. Paying 5% or 10% too much during an aggressive bidding round can wipe out several years of perfectly normal appreciation even if Bergen itself stays healthy.

We therefore see much more risk in individual purchase prices than in an imminent Bergen-wide crash. A strong city can still produce bad deals.

Bergen property risk Situation now Who should worry most Our view
Overpaying Prices have risen very quickly New buyers High
Mortgage rates New mortgages remain above 5% Leveraged buyers High
Weak rental cash flow Rents are strong but yields can remain thin Landlords High
Major building work Much of the housing stock is relatively old Apartment and older-home buyers High in some buildings
Flood and landslide exposure Extremely address-specific Waterfront, basement and hillside buyers High in exposed locations
Broad demand collapse Demand remains strong All owners Low for now

Could Bergen property prices fall even with a housing shortage?

Yes. Bergen's housing shortage gives prices strong support today, but it cannot make property prices immune to expensive credit or weaker household finances.

Bergen completed only 499 homes in 2024, according to the municipality. The previous three years produced roughly 1,033, 1,234 and 1,614 homes respectively. So the 2024 figure was about 69% below the 2021 level.

The latest municipal planning work confirms that the problem has not disappeared. Bergen says its average over the past decade has been about 1,200 completed homes a year. It describes 2024 as a bottom year and says 2025 improved only modestly, remaining weak by historical standards.

That shortage helps explain why prices and rents have both climbed so hard. Yet people still need enough income and borrowing capacity to pay those prices. If mortgages stay expensive, households cannot simply keep bidding 10% more every year because Bergen needs additional homes.

For a buyer, stagnation can hurt almost as much as an obvious correction. If a NOK 5 million home spends three years around NOK 5 million while its owner pays mortgage interest, maintenance and transaction costs, the investment can disappoint badly without anything resembling a housing crash.

Get fresh and reliable data on the Bergen property market

A restored timber house on a lane with no parking is priced on the postcard rather than on what it earns. Where asking prices sit furthest from what places actually rent for and resell at.

Is Bergen building so few homes that prices are basically protected?

No. Bergen's weak housing construction gives existing property owners a useful cushion, but it does not guarantee future price gains.

The supply squeeze is severe enough to matter. Bergen Municipality's latest housing data show that just 499 homes were completed in 2024. Its newer planning assessment says construction rose only modestly in 2025 and remained well below the roughly 1,200-home annual average of the previous decade.

There are signs that the pipeline could eventually improve. Between 2016 and 2024, Bergen regulated roughly 600 homes per year on average. During 2025, the municipality said more than 1,200 had already been regulated, with the total expected to reach about 1,600 before year-end.

Regulated homes do not appear overnight. The municipality estimates that large projects commonly take around two years from approval to completion, and developers still have to make the economics work.

Population growth also looks steady rather than spectacular. Bergen's urban settlement contained 274,589 residents at the beginning of 2026, up just 0.4% over the previous year according to Statistics Norway. Today's scarcity therefore comes partly from weak construction rather than runaway demographic growth.

If development recovers over the next few years, one of Bergen's strongest current price supports should gradually weaken.

Bergen housing supply Homes
Completed in 2021 1,614
Completed in 2022 1,234
Completed in 2023 1,033
Completed in 2024 499
Approx. 10-year annual average 1,200
Homes permitted in 2024 738

Are high mortgage rates the biggest financial risk when buying in Bergen?

Yes. For anyone borrowing heavily, mortgage rates are currently one of the clearest risks in Bergen property.

Statistics Norway's latest figures put the average interest rate on new home-secured loans at 5.29%. That was actually higher than the previous month rather than continuing the easing many borrowers would prefer to see.

Norwegian homeowners also receive very little protection from long fixed-rate mortgages. In the latest quarterly census, 95.8% of household mortgage balances had floating rates or a fixation period of three months or less. Only 4.2% sat on longer fixed terms.

Take a NOK 4 million mortgage over 25 years. At 3%, principal and interest come to roughly NOK 19,000 a month. At 5.29%, the payment is around NOK 24,000. That difference exceeds NOK 60,000 a year.

A Bergen buyer therefore needs the property to work at today's borrowing cost. Counting on cheaper mortgages to rescue an aggressive purchase price later is a poor fallback plan.

The rate exposure is especially uncomfortable because Bergen prices have already run hard. Expensive housing and expensive financing are a difficult combination, even with strong local demand.

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Does Norway's 10% deposit rule make a Bergen purchase more dangerous?

For highly leveraged buyers, yes. Norway's 10% minimum equity rule makes Bergen easier to enter while giving buyers less room for error if prices fall.

The standard maximum loan-to-value ratio was increased to 90%, meaning a buyer can finance much more of a property with debt than under the previous 15% equity requirement. Total debt is still normally restricted to five times gross income, and banks must test borrowers against substantially higher interest rates.

Finanstilsynet has already found that lending moved toward the new ceiling. Its mortgage survey showed average loan-to-value ratios increasing, while first-time buyers were particularly leveraged.

Imagine buying a NOK 5 million Bergen apartment with NOK 500,000 of equity and NOK 4.5 million of debt. A 5% decline cuts the property's value by NOK 250,000, equivalent to half the buyer's original housing equity before selling costs. A 10% decline wipes out that initial equity on paper.

That is a very different risk profile from buying the same home with 30% or 40% down.

Leverage works beautifully when Bergen prices keep climbing. It becomes much less forgiving when they simply stop.

Are Bergen rents strong enough to make buy-to-let safe?

No. Bergen's rental market is extremely strong currently, but strong rents alone do not make a rental property a good investment.

The latest Hybel and Menon Economics rental barometer measured average active-contract rent in Bergen at NOK 11,422 per month, up 12% over one year. That was the strongest rental growth among Norway's major cities.

Advertised rents tell the same broader story. Hybel's 2026 averages are around NOK 13,605 for a one-room apartment, NOK 16,624 for two rooms and NOK 20,255 for three rooms. Each category is well above its 2025 average.

The difficulty is the price paid to obtain those rents. Suppose an apartment costs NOK 4.5 million and brings in NOK 17,000 per month. Annual rent is NOK 204,000, giving a gross yield of about 4.5%.

A 4.5% gross yield looks far less exciting when new mortgages cost around 5.3%. Common charges, repairs, insurance, vacancy and tax still have to come out afterward.

Bergen landlords currently have a very good rental market. Buyers can still make poor rental investments inside it.

Example: NOK 4.5m Bergen apartment Amount
Monthly rent NOK 17,000
Annual rent NOK 204,000
Gross rental yield 4.53%
Mortgage at 75% LTV NOK 3.375m
Interest at 5.29% ~NOK 178,500/year
Rent left before other costs ~NOK 25,500/year

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A restored timber house on a lane with no parking is priced on the postcard rather than on what it earns. Where asking prices sit furthest from what places actually rent for and resell at.

Could a Bergen rental property lose money even while rents rise?

Easily. A leveraged Bergen rental can produce weak or negative cash flow today even when the tenant pays a very strong rent.

The previous example shows why. An apartment bringing in NOK 204,000 annually can spend roughly NOK 178,500 of that on mortgage interest alone if the investor borrows 75% at 5.29%.

That leaves about NOK 25,500 before common charges, insurance, repairs, vacancy, management and tax. A few thousand kroner of monthly common costs can erase the remaining margin.

Principal repayments create another cash-flow drain, even though they build equity rather than count as an economic expense in the same way as interest.

Rental profit that is taxable under Norway's ordinary rules is generally subject to a 22% tax rate after allowable deductions.

Investors should therefore focus much more on the spread between the property's true net yield and financing cost than on Bergen's impressive rent-growth figures. Right now, that spread can be very thin.

Could Bergen's rent boom suddenly end?

Bergen rents could slow considerably, although the evidence currently points more toward moderation than collapse.

The 12% annual rise measured by Hybel and Menon is unusually strong. Building an investment model that assumes anything close to that every year would be aggressive.

Hybel's monthly asking-rent data already show a less dramatic pattern beneath the annual number. Two-room advertised rents averaged NOK 17,245 in June, NOK 17,210 in July, NOK 16,556 in August and NOK 17,121 in September. Rent levels remain very high, but they do not climb neatly every month.

Several things could cool the market later. Lower mortgage rates would allow some tenants to buy. More completed housing would loosen scarcity. Additional rental supply could also put more negotiating power back into tenants' hands.

For now, Bergen landlords still have the stronger side of the market. We simply would not price a property as though double-digit rent increases had become normal.

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Can shared debt turn a cheap Bergen apartment into an expensive one?

Yes. Shared debt can completely change the real cost of a Bergen borettslag apartment, so buyers who focus on the headline price can badly underestimate what they are purchasing.

In a Norwegian housing cooperative, the advertised share price may sit alongside fellesgjeld, or common debt allocated to the unit. The owner then pays a share of the cooperative's borrowing through monthly common charges.

Imagine an apartment advertised at NOK 3.5 million with NOK 800,000 in allocated common debt. Its economic exposure is much closer to NOK 4.3 million than NOK 3.5 million.

The details of that debt matter too. A cooperative may have benefited from an interest-only period that is about to finish. It may need to refinance at a higher rate. Major building work can require additional borrowing and push monthly charges higher again.

Nearly half of Bergen's 148,209 registered homes are units in apartment blocks, according to the municipality's latest housing count. This is far from a niche issue.

Before buying a borettslag apartment, we would look at total price including common debt, current monthly charges, the loan terms, repayment schedule and planned work for the building. Those numbers tell us much more than the asking price alone.

Are older Bergen apartments and houses a bigger risk than they look?

Yes. Bergen's older buildings can hide repair bills large enough to matter more than a few percentage points of future price growth.

The city's latest energy and building assessment says roughly 70% of apartment blocks and 75% of detached homes were built before 1991, with around half of both categories built before 1970.

Age by itself does not make a property bad. A well-maintained older building can be a much safer purchase than a neglected newer one. The real question is what has already been replaced and what is coming next.

Roofs, façades, drainage, windows, pipes and electrical systems can all become expensive. In an apartment building, the bill often arrives indirectly through higher common charges, new shared borrowing or an extraordinary owner contribution.

Bergen's wet climate makes drainage, roofs, basements and façades especially worth investigating. A renovated kitchen tells us almost nothing about those parts of the building.

We would rather pay slightly more for an older Bergen property with a clear maintenance history and funded rehabilitation plan than save money on one where the next ten years are a mystery.

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How serious are flooding and rising sea levels for Bergen property?

Flooding is a serious Bergen property risk in specific locations, and waterfront buyers should treat it as part of normal due diligence today.

Bergen has several forms of water exposure at once: intense rainfall, surface runoff from steep terrain, storm surges and long-term sea-level rise. The risk can change dramatically between two properties in the same neighbourhood.

Kartverket's current planning figures for Bergen put a 20-year storm surge at around 130 cm above the NN2000 reference level. A 200-year storm surge with climate allowance reaches roughly 220 cm, while the corresponding 1,000-year planning level is around 230 cm.

Those figures do not mean central Bergen will sit two metres underwater. They are planning levels used to identify vulnerable land and structures under extreme water conditions.

For buyers, elevation and building design are what matter. A higher-floor apartment may have little direct damage exposure even if the neighbourhood is low, although garages, electrical systems and common areas can still be vulnerable. A basement flat or low waterfront house has a very different profile.

Rainwater also deserves attention away from the sea. Bergen's slopes can funnel large amounts of water through surprisingly narrow routes during extreme rainfall.

This is one risk we would never judge from the district name alone. The exact address matters.

Bergen water hazard Current planning reference Property most exposed What to check
20-year storm surge ~130 cm NN2000 Low waterfront property Elevation and flood map
200-year storm surge + climate allowance ~220 cm Coastal buildings Ground-floor/common-area exposure
1,000-year storm surge + climate allowance ~230 cm Very low coastal sites Long-term resilience
Heavy-rain runoff Address-specific Basements and low points Drainage and runoff routes
Water ingress Building-specific Older roofs/façades/basements Technical condition and repair history

Are landslides really something Bergen homebuyers need to check?

Yes. Bergen's steep terrain makes landslide risk relevant enough that hillside buyers should check the official hazard maps before committing.

NVE maintains Bergen-specific mapping for rockfall, soil slides, debris flows, slush flows and other steep-terrain hazards. Bergen has also undergone quick-clay mapping, and NVE warns that quick clay can exist outside already identified zones below the marine limit.

The local history shows why the maps exist. The Hatlestad terrace landslide in 2005 struck homes after extreme rain and killed three people. A separate landslide later that year caused another fatality.

Planning and hazard mapping have improved substantially since then, so those events should not be used to make Bergen sound broadly unsafe. They do show how different hillside sites can be.

For a home below or above steep ground, we would inspect NVE's maps, known historical incidents, drainage, retaining structures and any geotechnical documentation associated with the site.

Views are expensive in Bergen. Sometimes the slope creating the view also deserves the closest inspection.

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Are historic homes in central Bergen unusually risky to own?

Some are. Historic Bergen property can hold its value extremely well, but older construction creates a much wider range of possible repair costs.

Neighbourhoods such as Nordnes, Sandviken and the historic centre contain homes that are difficult to reproduce. Character, central location and limited supply can support long-term demand.

The problem comes when buyers pay a scarcity premium before understanding the building. Water ingress, timber deterioration, foundations, ventilation, roofing, pipes and electrical systems can all require specialist work.

Protected or historically important buildings may also give owners less freedom to change façades, windows or other external features.

Central Bergen has another unusual issue in some locations: groundwater and ground movement. Work involving the Geological Survey of Norway has studied subsidence and groundwater conditions in the city centre, while the Bryggen area requires active groundwater management to protect historic structures and archaeological deposits.

None of this means we would avoid an old Bergen home. We would just spend much more time on the technical and building records before deciding what it is worth.

Do buying costs make short-term Bergen property investing risky?

Yes. Bergen property becomes much harder to justify over a short holding period once transaction costs are added to an already expensive purchase.

For most freehold property transfers in Norway, document duty is 2.5% of the property's value. Buying for NOK 5 million therefore creates roughly NOK 125,000 of document duty before other acquisition costs.

Selling later brings another set of expenses, normally including the estate agent, marketing and settlement costs.

Bergen also levies municipal property tax on residential property. Rental investors may face tax on rental profit, while Norwegian wealth-tax treatment can differ materially between a primary residence and a secondary home.

These costs raise the hurdle for a short-term buyer. A property that rises 5% from NOK 5 million to NOK 5.25 million has generated NOK 250,000 of headline appreciation. Document duty alone consumed half of that gain before selling costs, financing and maintenance are considered.

A long holding period can spread those costs over many years. A two- or three-year speculative purchase has much less room for bad timing.

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What each area costs, what it rents for to students and to visitors, how long it sits before it sells. Plus the things nobody writes down: what the rain does to a timber house, and the fact that a bid here cannot be taken back.

Could Bergen's economy suddenly weaken the property market?

It could, but we currently see an economic shock as a secondary Bergen property risk rather than the most likely problem for buyers.

Bergen has a much broader employment base than a one-industry city. Healthcare, universities, public administration, maritime businesses, seafood, tourism, finance and energy-related industries all contribute to local employment.

The city also remains a major regional job centre. Statistics Norway's commuting data show far more people travelling into Bergen for work than leaving the municipality for jobs elsewhere.

Exposure to western Norway's energy and maritime economy still matters. A deep downturn in offshore investment or export industries would eventually reach household incomes, housing demand and high-end purchasing power.

The dangerous combination would be weaker employment and expensive mortgages. Norwegian households overwhelmingly use floating-rate borrowing, so losing income while carrying a large mortgage would hurt quickly.

There is little in the latest Bergen housing data suggesting that such a demand shock is already underway. For now, affordability is the more immediate economic risk.

What could actually make Bergen property prices fall hard?

A serious Bergen downturn would probably need expensive mortgages, weaker employment and a change in buyer confidence to hit at roughly the same time.

Interest rates can do part of the damage on their own by reducing what households can borrow. A weaker labour market would make that pressure much worse. If buyers then stopped expecting Bergen to outperform, aggressive bidding could disappear rapidly.

A recovery in housing construction could add another headwind later, although the current building pipeline does not suggest an immediate flood of completed homes.

What Bergen does not currently have is the usual setup for a property crash based on huge excess supply. New housing has been unusually scarce.

That makes a 20% citywide collapse difficult to defend as a base case today. Flat prices, a modest correction or weaker real returns are much easier to imagine.

And for a heavily leveraged buyer, those outcomes are bad enough. Property does not have to crash for an expensive purchase to be a poor investment.

Everything a foreign buyer should know before buying in Bergen

The pack also covers what the rain does to a timber house, and the fact that a bid here cannot be taken back.

So what are the biggest property risks in Bergen today?

The biggest Bergen property risks today are overpaying after a huge price run, carrying too much floating-rate debt, and buying a building or location with costs that the headline housing statistics never show.

Bergen itself still looks strong. The latest official price data show double-digit annual growth, rents have risen sharply, construction remains unusually low and there is no obvious citywide shortage of buyers.

That strength changes the way we should approach the market. We are much less worried about Bergen suddenly becoming an undesirable place to own property than about buyers using its recent performance to justify almost any price.

For owner-occupiers, the biggest test is whether the mortgage remains comfortable without quick rate cuts or further exceptional appreciation.

For landlords, the numbers need more discipline. High rents are helpful, but 4% to 5% gross yields can produce disappointing cash flow when debt costs more than 5%.

At the property level, we would take shared debt, upcoming rehabilitation, drainage, flood exposure and steep terrain very seriously. Bergen has enough old buildings and unusual geography for these risks to vary dramatically from one address to another.

So we would still buy Bergen property under the right conditions. We would be far more selective about the price, leverage and building than the city's recent boom might tempt us to be.

Risk Severity now Most exposed buyer Our judgment
Overpaying after rapid price growth High Anyone buying now Biggest market risk
Mortgage rates and leverage High Highly leveraged households Biggest financial risk
Weak buy-to-let cash flow High Landlords using debt Easy to underestimate
Major building repairs High in some properties Older homes and apartment buildings Requires detailed due diligence
Shared cooperative debt High in some apartments Borettslag buyers Can distort the apparent price
Flood and stormwater High in exposed sites Waterfront/basement buyers Very address-specific
Landslides and terrain High in exposed sites Hillside buyers Check before purchase
Housing oversupply Low currently New-build owners/developers Scarcity remains the bigger issue
Rental-demand collapse Low currently Landlords No clear evidence of it now
Citywide property crash Low-to-moderate Highly leveraged owners Possible, but far from our base case

OUR METHODOLOGY

This analysis asks what can actually damage a Bergen property buyer's outcome today. We broke the question into market pricing, housing supply, financing and leverage, rental economics, building and cooperative liabilities, physical hazards, transaction costs, and the resilience of local demand.

We treated those risks separately because Bergen-wide market strength does not remove property-level risk. In particular, we distinguished the chance of the overall housing market weakening from the chance of an individual buyer overpaying, using too much debt or inheriting expensive building liabilities.

For market conditions and housing supply, we relied primarily on Statistics Norway and Bergen Municipality. SSB's existing-home price index was used for Bergen's latest quarterly and annual price movements, while municipal housing and planning data were used for completions, permits, the longer construction average and the future development pipeline.

Financing risk was assessed using Statistics Norway's mortgage-rate data and Finanstilsynet's mortgage lending survey and lending rules. We considered current borrowing costs together with Norway's 90% maximum loan-to-value framework, five-times-income debt ceiling and the unusually high share of household mortgages exposed to floating or very short fixed-rate periods.

Rental strength was tested against purchase prices and financing costs rather than treated as automatically positive for investors. Hybel and Menon Economics supplied the main rental-growth evidence, while Hybel's Bergen marketplace data were used to check advertised rent levels and the month-to-month pattern during 2026.

Property-specific risks were assessed with public technical and legal sources. Bergen Municipality's building-stock analysis was used for the age profile of local housing, Lovdata for cooperative debt rules, Kartverket for storm-surge planning levels, NVE for landslide and quick-clay hazards, and NGU and the Directorate for Cultural Heritage for groundwater and heritage considerations in historically sensitive parts of central Bergen.

Where calculations were useful, we used simple stress-test examples rather than forecasts. The mortgage, leverage, rental-yield and transaction-cost examples are designed to show what happens under current conditions without relying on another year of exceptional price appreciation, double-digit rent growth or rapid interest-rate cuts.

We ranked the risks by combining their current credibility, possible financial impact and relevance across Bergen buyers. That approach is why overpaying, leverage and weak rental cash flow rank as broad risks, while flooding, landslides, shared debt and major repairs can be even more serious for a particular property but need address- or building-level evidence.

Key sources used for this analysis include: Statistics Norway's price index for existing dwellings, Bergen Municipality's housing statistics, Bergen Municipality's housing construction and planning assessment, Statistics Norway's bank and mortgage interest-rate statistics, Finanstilsynet's Mortgage Lending Survey 2025, Hybel and Menon Economics' Rental Market Barometer, Hybel's Bergen rental-price statistics, Kartverket's Bergen sea-level and storm-surge data, NVE's Bergen hazard mapping, the Norwegian Tax Administration's document-duty guidance, and its guidance on taxation of rental property.

The areas and new projects in Bergen that are most overpriced

A restored timber house on a lane with no parking is priced on the postcard rather than on what it earns. Where asking prices sit furthest from what places actually rent for and resell at.