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What are the price trends and forecasts in Porto right now? (2026)

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Portugal Property Pack

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Yes, the analysis of Porto's property market is included in our pack

In this article, we cover everything you need to know about current housing prices in Porto and where they are headed, and we constantly update this blog post to keep the data fresh.

Porto's property market is moving fast, with prices rising unevenly across neighborhoods, some areas climbing in double digits while others flatten out.

Whether you are watching the market or actively considering a purchase, understanding these trends will help you make a more confident decision.

And if you're planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in Porto.

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Filipe Mendes 🇵🇹

Real Estate Agent

Filipe Mendes is a dedicated real estate agent based near Porto, committed to helping clients buy and sell properties with ease. With deep knowledge of Porto’s dynamic real estate market and a client-focused approach, he ensures seamless transactions, whether you’re searching for your ideal home or a lucrative investment. Backed by As Imobiliária, Filipe offers expert guidance on the best opportunities in the region.

What are the current property price trends in Porto as of 2026?

What is the average house price in Porto as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the average asking price per square meter in Porto sits at around 3,900 euros (roughly 4,100 USD), based on the most recent December 2025 data showing 3,885 euros per square meter for the Porto municipality.

That translates to something quite concrete: a 60 square meter apartment costs around 233,000 euros, a 90 square meter family flat runs about 350,000 euros, and a 140 square meter townhouse or detached home lands around 544,000 euros.

In terms of the range that covers most actual transactions in Porto, roughly 80% of purchases fall somewhere between 2,500 and 5,000 euros per square meter, depending heavily on location, condition, and property type.

How much have property prices increased in Porto over the past 12 months?

Property prices in Porto rose by approximately 5% over the past 12 months, with the city-level measure from idealista showing a 4.8% year-on-year increase from December 2024 to December 2025.

That city average, however, hides a wide spread: some neighborhoods climbed more than 14% while others dipped below zero, so the realistic range across different areas and property types runs from roughly minus 9% to plus 14% over the same period.

The most significant factor behind this overall upward movement is the persistent mismatch between supply and demand in Porto's most desirable areas, where new listings are scarce and buyer appetite has not meaningfully cooled.

Sources and methodology: we used idealista's Porto municipality price series as the primary city-level benchmark, cross-checked against INE's official bank appraisal data to validate direction. We also referenced Confidencial Imobiliario's residential price indices to confirm the trend from a transaction-based perspective, alongside our own market analyses.

Which neighborhoods have the fastest rising property prices in Porto as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the three Porto neighborhoods with the fastest rising prices are Aldoar, Foz do Douro and Nevogilde (grouped as one administrative unit), Lordelo do Ouro e Massarelos, and Ramalde.

Aldoar, Foz do Douro and Nevogilde leads the city with a remarkable 14.4% year-on-year gain, reaching 4,842 euros per square meter; Lordelo do Ouro e Massarelos follows at 6.4% growth and around 4,252 euros per square meter; and Ramalde has grown about 4.7%, sitting near 3,291 euros per square meter.

The main demand driver in these neighborhoods is a combination of limited resale stock, strong lifestyle appeal (riverfront access, ocean proximity, good schools), and a rising share of buyers who are specifically targeting Porto's western and coastal belt as a long-term hold.

By the way, you will find much more detailed price ranges across neighborhoods in our property pack covering the real estate market in Porto.

Sources and methodology: we pulled neighborhood-level data directly from idealista's Porto municipality and freguesia breakdown, which gives consistent same-method comparisons across the city. We cross-referenced sentiment trends with the RICS/Ci Portuguese Housing Market Survey covering Greater Oporto. Our own proprietary analyses of Porto's neighborhood dynamics were also used to validate these findings.

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Which property types are increasing faster in value in Porto as of 2026?

As of early 2026, renovated apartments in central and western Porto are appreciating the fastest, followed by high-spec new-build condos with parking or amenities, and then family houses or townhouses with outdoor space, which are rare enough inside the municipality to command a meaningful scarcity premium.

The top-performing segment, renovated and energy-improved apartments in walkable or coastal locations, has been appreciating in the range of 6% to 14% annually in prime areas, driven by buyers unwilling to take on renovation risk at today's prices.

The main reason apartments outperform in Porto is structural: the city is overwhelmingly apartment-heavy in its available stock, so when demand concentrates in specific zones, well-located apartments in those zones attract the most competition and the strongest price moves.

Finally, if you're interested in a specific property type, you will find our latest analyses here:

Sources and methodology: we combined idealista's Porto listing data with the official apartment-versus-house segmentation published by GEE (republishing INE appraisal data), which confirms apartments carry higher per-square-meter valuations than houses in the current cycle. We also drew on our own property-type analyses for Porto to validate the ranking.

What is driving property prices up or down in Porto as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the three biggest forces pushing Porto property prices are a persistent shortage of quality supply in the most desirable areas, gradual easing of borrowing costs that is improving buyer confidence, and continued strong demand from both local upgraders and internationally mobile buyers targeting Porto's western neighborhoods.

Of these, supply tightness in prime zones is by far the strongest upward pressure: when renovated units in walkable, well-connected areas stay scarce, even modest demand growth is enough to push prices up meaningfully.

If you want to understand these factors at a deeper level, you can read our latest property market analysis about Porto here.

Sources and methodology: we triangulated the demand-side picture using Banco de Portugal's October 2025 Economic Bulletin and the European Commission's economic forecast for Portugal. On the credit side, we used the implicit housing loan rate published by INE (via PublicNow). Our own market research on Porto's supply pipeline also fed into this analysis.

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What is the property price forecast for Porto in 2026?

How much are property prices expected to increase in Porto in 2026?

As of early 2026, property prices in Porto are expected to grow by around 5% over the course of the year, which is our base-case estimate for the municipality as a whole.

Depending on how interest rates and supply evolve, the realistic range across different analysts and scenarios runs from about 2% on the cautious end to around 8% in more optimistic conditions, with prime neighborhoods likely sitting at the higher end of that range.

Most forecasts share a common underlying assumption: that borrowing costs remain broadly stable or continue easing gently, keeping demand supported across the mid-market without triggering a credit-driven surge.

We go deeper and try to understand how solid are these forecasts in our pack covering the property market in Porto.

Sources and methodology: we anchored the forecast to Porto's observed year-end 2025 growth rate from idealista, then adjusted using macro projections from Banco de Portugal and the European Commission. We also cross-checked the range against the OECD Economic Outlook for Portugal and our own forward-looking analysis.

Which neighborhoods will see the highest price growth in Porto in 2026?

As of early 2026, the neighborhoods most likely to see the highest price growth in Porto are Aldoar, Foz do Douro and Nevogilde, Lordelo do Ouro e Massarelos, and select pockets along the newly improved Metro corridors, particularly near Rosa line stations.

In Foz do Douro and Nevogilde, price growth could comfortably exceed 10% again in 2026 given the scarcity of prime stock; Lordelo do Ouro e Massarelos is likely to sustain 5% to 8% growth on the back of its river-facing appeal.

The primary catalyst in these neighborhoods is the compounding effect of very limited new supply meeting a buyer base that increasingly targets Porto's western axis for lifestyle and long-term value reasons.

One neighborhood worth watching as a potential surprise is Campanhã, which posted a weak 2025 but has regeneration investment underway and improving transit links that could shift buyer sentiment faster than current pricing suggests.

By the way, we've written a blog article detailing what are the current best areas to invest in property in Porto.

Sources and methodology: we used the latest freguesia-level data from idealista's Porto municipality breakdown as the primary ranking tool. Metro phasing information came from official Metro do Porto project pages and JPN reporting on the Rosa line timeline. Our own neighborhood-level assessments complemented these sources.

What property types will appreciate the most in Porto in 2026?

As of early 2026, renovated and energy-efficient apartments in Porto's central and western locations are expected to appreciate the most, ahead of new-build condos with premium amenities, and well ahead of standard unrenovated stock.

The top segment, turnkey apartments in high-demand locations, is projected to appreciate by roughly 6% to 12% in 2026, with the upper end reserved for units in Foz do Douro, Nevogilde, and prime Cedofeita streets.

The main demand trend behind this is straightforward: buyers at today's price points are less willing to take on renovation projects, so move-in-ready units command a growing premium over comparable unimproved stock.

On the other hand, older, unrenovated apartments with poor energy ratings in less connected parts of the city are expected to underperform because rising buyer standards on energy efficiency and condition are squeezing demand for properties that require significant investment before they are livable.

Sources and methodology: we based this property-type outlook on listing structure and pricing dynamics from idealista, combined with official appraisal segmentation from INE via GEE. Forward-looking sentiment from the RICS/Ci Portuguese Housing Market Survey was also used to shape the 2026 direction. Our own analysis of Porto's stock composition and buyer preferences rounded out the picture.

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How will interest rates affect property prices in Porto in 2026?

As of early 2026, the direction of interest rates is a mild tailwind for Porto property prices: borrowing costs stopped rising and were gently easing by late 2025, which is helping buyer confidence stabilize after the pressure of the prior tightening cycle.

The implicit housing loan rate in Portugal was around 3.1% in November 2025 according to INE, and most expectations point to rates staying broadly flat or nudging slightly lower through 2026 barring any external shocks.

In Porto's context, a 1 percentage point drop in mortgage rates roughly translates to a 7% to 9% improvement in what a buyer can afford on the same monthly budget, which is meaningful for the mid-market but has less impact on prime areas where buyers are less credit-dependent.

You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Portugal.

Sources and methodology: we used the official implicit housing loan interest rate for Portugal from INE (via PublicNow) as the benchmark starting point. Rate direction assumptions draw on Banco de Portugal's Economic Bulletin and European Commission forecasts. The affordability translation was derived from our own calculations based on typical Porto price and income levels.

What are the biggest risks for property prices in Porto in 2026?

As of early 2026, the three biggest risks for Porto property prices are a renewed rise in borrowing costs that would squeeze buyer budgets, a macro growth disappointment that weakens household income and confidence, and regulatory or tax changes affecting investors who currently support demand in rental-oriented segments.

Of these, an unexpected upward shift in mortgage rates is the highest-probability risk in the near term, because even a moderate increase from today's level would quickly reduce the pool of qualified buyers for mid-market apartments, putting downward pressure on the segments that are most credit-sensitive.

We actually cover all these risks and their likelihoods in our pack about the real estate market in Porto.

Sources and methodology: we identified and ranked risks using downside scenarios discussed in the OECD Economic Outlook for Portugal and the Banco de Portugal Economic Bulletin. We also drew on neighborhood-level price dispersion data from idealista to assess supply-side vulnerability by area. Our own scenario modelling for Porto fed into the probability ranking.

Is it a good time to buy a rental property in Porto in 2026?

As of early 2026, buying a rental property in Porto can be a sound decision if you are targeting durable, year-round demand and are disciplined about what you pay, but it is not a moment to buy anything at any price.

The strongest argument for buying now is that borrowing costs have stopped getting worse, prices are still growing at a moderate pace rather than accelerating wildly, and neighborhoods like Paranhos, Bonfim, and Ramalde offer a combination of reliable tenant demand from students and professionals with more accessible entry prices than the prime west.

The strongest argument for waiting is that Porto's buy prices have risen considerably faster than rents in recent years, meaning gross yields in the most popular areas have compressed to levels where the rental math only works if you buy at a discount or add value through renovation.

If you want to know our latest analysis (results may differ from what you just read), you can read our assessment on whether now is a good time to buy a property in Porto.

You'll also find a dedicated document about this specific question in our pack about real estate in Porto.

Sources and methodology: we combined Porto neighborhood pricing from idealista's freguesia breakdown with the national credit backdrop from INE's housing loan rate data. Yield compression dynamics were assessed using our own rental and transaction price analyses for Porto, alongside macro assumptions from Banco de Portugal.

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Where will property prices be in 5 years in Porto?

What is the 5-year property price forecast for Porto as of 2026?

As of early 2026, Porto property prices are expected to grow by roughly 25% to 30% cumulatively over the next five years in the base case, which would bring the average price per square meter from around 3,900 euros today to approximately 5,000 euros by 2030 or 2031.

The range across scenarios is meaningful: a conservative path of around 3% per year would land near 4,500 euros per square meter, while a stronger cycle averaging 7% per year could push the city toward 5,450 euros per square meter by 2031.

The projected average annual appreciation over the five-year horizon sits at around 5%, which aligns with Porto's recent city-level trend and reflects a stable but not exceptional macro environment for Portugal.

Most forecasters anchor their five-year view on the assumption that Portugal's economy continues expanding at a moderate pace, that interest rates do not surge again, and that Porto's chronic supply constraint in desirable areas persists, all of which are reasonable but not guaranteed.

Sources and methodology: we built the five-year range using Porto's current per-square-meter level from idealista as the base, then applied growth paths consistent with OECD and European Commission macro projections. We also incorporated our own long-run scenario modelling for Porto, calibrated against historical European city-market cycles.

Which areas in Porto will have the best price growth over the next 5 years?

The three areas most likely to deliver the best price growth in Porto over the next five years are the Aldoar, Foz do Douro and Nevogilde belt, Lordelo do Ouro e Massarelos, and the central historic cluster anchored by Cedofeita, all of which combine scarcity, lifestyle appeal, and strong long-term demand.

Over five years, these prime and prime-adjacent areas could realistically compound at 6% to 8% per year, translating to roughly 30% to 45% cumulative gains, well above the city average.

This is largely consistent with the shorter one-year outlook discussed earlier: the same supply and demand dynamics that are driving outperformance today tend to be structural rather than cyclical, meaning the westward prestige gradient in Porto is likely to persist.

Among currently undervalued areas, Campanhã stands out as having the most upside potential over five years, given its regeneration pipeline, improving Metro connectivity, and the fact that it is still priced at a significant discount to the rest of the city despite being well-located relative to the center.

Sources and methodology: we identified long-run winners by combining current price momentum from idealista's parish-level data with confirmed infrastructure timelines from Metro do Porto's Linha Rubi project page. We also used RICS/Ci survey data for forward-looking sentiment in Greater Oporto. Our own multi-year modelling for Porto neighborhoods contributed to the undervalued area assessment.

What property type will give the best return in Porto over 5 years as of 2026?

As of early 2026, mid-sized apartments, specifically T1, T2, and T3 units in well-connected and liquid neighborhoods, are the property type most likely to deliver the best total return in Porto over the next five years, combining solid price appreciation with reliable rental income.

For a well-located T2 or T3 apartment in a neighborhood like Bonfim, Paranhos, or Lordelo do Ouro, a realistic five-year total return (price appreciation plus net rental yield) could land in the range of 35% to 50%, depending on purchase price and management efficiency.

The structural trend working in these apartments' favor is Porto's persistent undersupply of quality, move-in-ready stock in everyday neighborhoods, combined with a steady base of student, young professional, and relocation tenant demand that keeps vacancy low even as more units come to market.

For investors seeking the best balance of return and lower risk, a T2 apartment in a high-liquidity area near transit, ideally with parking, remains the clearest choice: it is easy to let, easy to resell, and relatively resilient to market dips compared to higher-end or more illiquid property types.

Sources and methodology: we based the property-type return outlook on Porto's apartment-dominated market structure as shown in idealista's listing and price data, cross-referenced with official segmentation from INE (via GEE). Credit conditions from INE's implicit rate data informed the affordability dimension. Our own total-return models for Porto property types were used to estimate the five-year range.

How will new infrastructure projects affect property prices in Porto over 5 years?

The three infrastructure projects most likely to affect Porto property prices over the next five years are the Rosa Metro line (expected to begin operation in Q1 2026), the Linha Rubi corridor connecting Casa da Musica to Santo Ovidio (phased through 2026 and beyond), and the broader transit network densification those two lines enable in the city's underserved corridors.

In Porto, properties within comfortable walking distance of new or significantly upgraded Metro stations have historically attracted a price premium in the range of 5% to 15% once the line is operational and commuting benefits become tangible to buyers.

The neighborhoods that stand to benefit most from these infrastructure improvements are areas near new Rosa line stations improving central connectivity, and corridors along the Rubi line phasing, with Campanha and transitional neighborhoods between the city center and the southern metro area particularly well positioned over the five-year horizon.

Sources and methodology: we used official corridor and station information from Metro do Porto's Linha Rubi project page, combined with phasing and timing reporting from JPN on the Rubi partial operation and JPN on the Rosa line Q1 2026 target. Our own research on transit-proximity price effects in Porto and comparable Portuguese cities informed the premium estimates.

How will population growth and other factors impact property values in Porto in 5 years?

Porto's population is not growing explosively, but steady household formation and a consistent flow of international residents are expected to keep housing demand well above what the constrained supply pipeline can absorb, supporting price appreciation of at least 3% to 5% annually even without broad population surges.

The demographic shift with the strongest influence on Porto's property demand is the rising share of smaller households, particularly young professionals and couples choosing urban apartments over suburban houses, which keeps demand concentrated in the apartment-heavy city core rather than spreading it thinly across the wider metro area.

On the migration side, Porto has been attracting a meaningful number of digital workers, retirees from Northern Europe, and returning Portuguese diaspora, a mix that tends to target well-located, renovated apartments and drives up prices in the very segments that already face the tightest supply.

Apartments in well-connected central and western neighborhoods, particularly those near parks, universities, hospitals, or Metro stops, are best positioned to capture these demographic tailwinds, while detached houses and outer-ring properties are less directly in the path of this demand.

Sources and methodology: we grounded the demographic outlook in macro projections from Banco de Portugal's Economic Bulletin and the European Commission's Portugal forecast. Housing demand structure was cross-referenced with INE's housing and construction statistics portal. Our own analysis of Porto's migration and household formation trends complemented these official sources.
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We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Portugal compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

What is the 10 year property price outlook in Porto?

What is the 10-year property price prediction for Porto as of 2026?

As of early 2026, Porto property prices are expected to grow by roughly 45% to 65% cumulatively over the next ten years in the base case, taking the average from around 3,900 euros per square meter today to somewhere between 5,200 and 6,300 euros per square meter by 2036.

The range across scenarios runs from a conservative 3% per year compound (arriving near 5,200 euros per square meter) to an optimistic 5% per year path (landing close to 6,300 euros per square meter), with the base case sitting around 4% annually and a target near 5,750 euros per square meter.

The projected average annual appreciation rate over the ten-year horizon is around 4%, which is deliberately more modest than the recent five-year average to account for the likelihood that Porto's price cycle will mature and moderate as affordability limits become increasingly binding.

The biggest uncertainty in any ten-year forecast for Porto is the long-run interest rate regime: whether European rates settle back near historical averages or remain structurally higher than pre-2022 levels will have a far larger impact on house prices than almost any local factor.

Sources and methodology: we applied long-run growth rates to Porto's current price level from idealista, calibrated against historical European city-market cycles and structural benchmarks from the OECD Economic Outlook. We also used Eurostat's House Price Index to benchmark Porto's trajectory against EU norms. Our own long-horizon scenario models for Porto rounded out the analysis.

What long-term economic factors will shape property prices in Porto?

The three long-term economic factors most likely to shape Porto property prices over the next decade are the trajectory of real household incomes relative to housing costs (which sets the affordability ceiling), the long-run interest rate environment (which determines how much buyers can borrow), and the pace and quality of new housing supply (which determines how tight the market stays).

Of these, income growth relative to prices will have the most positive impact on Porto property values if it continues on its current track: when wages rise in a city that is attracting higher-skill workers and international talent, it tends to validate and sustain elevated price levels over time.

The greatest structural risk over ten years is affordability erosion, specifically the scenario where Porto prices keep rising faster than local incomes for long enough that demand must increasingly rely on either foreign buyers or stretched credit, both of which are more fragile and more sensitive to external shocks than domestic organic demand.

You'll also find a much more detailed analysis in our pack about real estate in Porto.

Sources and methodology: we identified and ranked long-term factors using structural analysis from Banco de Portugal's Economic Bulletin, OECD Economic Outlook, and European Commission forecasts. The housing supply constraint dimension was validated against INE's building permits and construction data. Our own ten-year scenario planning for Porto's property market was used to synthesise these factors.

What sources have we used to write this blog article?

Whether it's in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about Porto, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can ... and we don't throw out numbers at random.

We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we've listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.

Source Why it carries weight How we used it
Statistics Portugal (INE) - Bank Appraisals on Housing Portugal's official statistics institute, publishing nationally comparable housing valuation data. We used it as the official anchor for Portugal-wide price levels and year-on-year growth entering 2026. We cross-checked it against listing-based city measures to avoid relying on asking prices alone.
INE - Housing and Construction Statistics Portal The official gateway to INE's full suite of housing indicators, transactions, and building permit data. We used it to confirm the latest official release cycle and validate that our narrative was aligned with the most recent data available. We also referenced it for supply-side context such as building permits.
Banco de Portugal - Economic Bulletin (October 2025) Portugal's national central bank, whose macro projections underpin housing demand and credit conditions. We used it to frame 2026 and 2027 growth, inflation, and employment conditions affecting buyer budgets. We translated its macro outlook into housing demand pressure throughout the article.
European Commission - Portugal Economic Forecast The EU's official forecasting arm for member-state macroeconomic assumptions. We used it as an independent cross-check on inflation, domestic demand, and unemployment. We triangulated it with Banco de Portugal to avoid single-forecast dependence.
OECD - Economic Outlook 2025, Portugal Chapter A top-tier international body with transparent, peer-reviewed forecasting frameworks for member economies. We used it to stress-test our housing forecast against soft-landing and downside scenarios. We also used it as the backbone for our 5-year and 10-year growth rate assumptions.
Eurostat - House Price Index The EU statistical office, providing harmonised and comparable house price data across all member states. We used it to benchmark Porto's housing growth against EU and euro-area norms. We used it to check whether Porto's trajectory looks locally specific or part of a broader European cycle.
idealista Portugal - Porto Municipality Price Reports A major Iberian property portal with a transparent methodology and large listing coverage across Porto. We used it as the primary Porto-specific dashboard for city-level and neighbourhood-level price per square meter. We treated it as the market-facing benchmark and cross-checked its direction against official INE appraisal trends.
Confidencial Imobiliario - Residential Price Indices A long-running Portuguese housing analytics provider with a documented index methodology and extended time series. We used it as a second, independent transaction-based perspective to corroborate the direction of price changes in Porto. We compared it against listing-based measures to validate acceleration or cooling signals.
RICS/Ci - Portuguese Housing Market Survey A systematic, repeated survey from a global professional body, with specific coverage of Greater Oporto. We used it for forward-looking sentiment on supply, demand, and price expectations in the Porto area. We used it to shape our near-term momentum view rather than as a precise price-level source.
INE (via PublicNow) - Implicit Housing Loan Interest Rate Mirrors official INE releases on borrowing costs, useful when the primary INE pages are intermittently unavailable. We used it to anchor the cost-of-money context entering 2026. We translated the rate level and direction into affordability impacts and buyer demand signals across Porto's market segments.
Metro do Porto - Linha Rubi Official Project Page The operator's official communication for the Rubi corridor, a major mobility upgrade affecting Porto's property geography. We used it to identify which corridors gain structurally improved access and map likely accessibility premiums to nearby residential areas. We staged its effects conservatively given phased delivery.
JPN - Linha Rosa Timing Reporting Local journalistic source citing Metro do Porto administration directly on project timing for the Rosa line. We used it to time near-term neighbourhood effects from the Rosa line's expected Q1 2026 opening. We treated it as timing context and kept price impact estimates conservative pending full operation.

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