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What are the price trends and forecasts in Bursa right now? (2026)

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Turkey Property Pack

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Bursa property prices in 2026 are still moving up in Turkish lira, but the real picture is more nuanced once inflation is included.

In this article, we look at current housing prices in Bursa, recent price growth, the strongest neighborhoods, and our updated forecasts for the Bursa residential property market.

We constantly update this blog post as new Bursa housing price data, Turkish inflation data, mortgage conditions, and infrastructure news become available.

And if you're planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in Bursa.

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Ahmet Kaymaz 🇹🇷

Attorney at Law

Ahmet Kaymaz, Attorney at Law, provides reliable, personalized legal counsel to foreign clients in Turkey. Based in Antalya, he offers strategic guidance on Turkish investment laws and represents foreign nationals in civil and criminal matters. As a local national, he brings valuable firsthand insight into the legal and real estate landscape, ensuring clients’ interests are handled with expertise and care.

What are the current property price trends in Bursa as of 2026?

What is the average house price in Bursa as of 2026?

As of 2026, the average house price in Bursa is about TRY 4.5 million, which is roughly USD 97,000 or EUR 84,000 using mid June 2026 exchange rates.

That means the average property price in Bursa in 2026 is around TRY 35,000 per square meter, or about USD 760 and EUR 660 per square meter.

For most ordinary buyers, a realistic Bursa property purchase in 2026 sits between about TRY 2.5 million and TRY 9 million, equal to roughly USD 54,000 to USD 195,000 or EUR 47,000 to EUR 168,000.

How much have property prices increased in Bursa over the past 12 months?

Bursa residential property prices increased by about 23% over the past 12 months, which means Bursa homes became more expensive in lira but not clearly more expensive after inflation.

Across Bursa property types, the realistic 12 month increase is closer to 18% to 30%, with newer apartments in Nilüfer and rental areas generally doing better than older homes in weaker locations.

The most important reason behind this Bursa price movement is still inflation, because construction costs, land values, wages, and sellers' replacement costs all moved higher.

Sources and methodology: we compared Endeksa, TCMB, and TÜİK data.
We used Bursa asking prices, official residential price indexes, and inflation data to separate nominal growth from real price growth.
We also checked these results against our own Bursa district notes and listing observations.

Which neighborhoods have the fastest rising property prices in Bursa as of 2026?

As of 2026, the top three fast rising Bursa neighborhoods are likely Görükle, Özlüce, and Güzelyalı, because each one has a clear demand story.

Görükle property prices are likely rising by about 26% to 30% per year, Özlüce by about 25% to 28%, and Güzelyalı by about 24% to 27%.

The main reason these Bursa neighborhoods are moving faster is simple: Görükle has student and rental demand, Özlüce has family and new build demand, and Güzelyalı has coastal scarcity.

By the way, you will find much more detailed price ranges across neighborhoods in our property pack covering the real estate market in Bursa.

Sources and methodology: we used Endeksa, Emlakjet, and the Ministry of Transport.
We treated portal data as asking price evidence, not as final transaction proof.
We then added our own neighborhood scoring for rent depth, transport, and building quality.

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Which property types are increasing faster in value in Bursa as of 2026?

As of 2026, the likely ranking for value growth in Bursa is apartment first, condo style modern flat second, townhouse third, and villa fourth.

The top performing Bursa property type is the modern apartment, with likely annual appreciation around 24% to 29% in stronger districts such as Nilüfer, Görükle, Özlüce, Balat, and Altınşehir.

Modern apartments are outperforming in Bursa because they fit the widest buyer pool: families, students, hospital workers, factory employees, and investors looking for easier rental demand.

Finally, if you're interested in a specific property type, you will find our latest analyses here:

Sources and methodology: we compared Endeksa, TCMB RPPI, and Emlakjet.
We gave more weight to liquid property types that ordinary Bursa buyers can actually finance or rent.
We also used our own Bursa property type database to compare apartments, villas, and townhouse style homes.

What is driving property prices up or down in Bursa as of 2026?

As of 2026, the top three drivers of Bursa property prices are high construction costs, weak mortgage affordability, and stronger demand for safer modern homes.

The strongest upward pressure on Bursa property prices is construction cost inflation, because developers and sellers are reluctant to reduce prices when replacement costs remain high.

If you want to understand these factors at a deeper level, you can read our latest property market analysis about Bursa here.

Sources and methodology: we used TÜİK, TCMB, and the World Bank.
We connected macro data with Bursa's local housing supply, industry base, and district level demand.
We also checked whether our own Bursa buyer notes matched the official affordability picture.

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What is the property price forecast for Bursa in 2026?

How much are property prices expected to increase in Bursa in 2026?

As of 2026, Bursa property prices are expected to increase by about 24% to 28% in nominal lira terms for the full year.

A realistic forecast range for Bursa residential property in 2026 is 22% to 30%, with lower growth in overpriced older stock and higher growth in modern, liquid apartments.

The main assumption behind most Bursa price forecasts is that inflation stays high, mortgage rates remain heavy, and good new housing supply stays limited.

We go deeper and try to understand how solid are these forecasts in our pack covering the property market in Bursa.

Sources and methodology: we used Endeksa, TCMB RPPI, and IMF.
We started from current Bursa asking prices, then adjusted for inflation, rates, and transaction pressure.
We also used our own forecast model to avoid relying on portal data alone.

Which neighborhoods will see the highest price growth in Bursa in 2026?

As of 2026, the Bursa neighborhoods expected to see the highest price growth are Görükle, Dumlupınar, Özlüce, Balat, Altınşehir, Kestel center, Gürsu, Güzelyalı, and Mudanya Merkez.

These stronger Bursa neighborhoods could see 2026 price growth of about 26% to 33%, while the wider Bursa market is more likely to stay near 24% to 28%.

The main catalyst is better daily usefulness, because buyers pay more for areas with rental demand, safer buildings, road access, rail access, schools, hospitals, and jobs.

One Bursa area that could surprise is Kestel, because prices are lower than Nilüfer and future rail and commuting links could make the district more attractive.

By the way, we've written a blog article detailing what are the current best areas to invest in property in Bursa.

Sources and methodology: we used Endeksa, the Ministry of Transport, and Emlakjet.
We ranked neighborhoods by demand depth, transport access, price base, and supply risk.
We also used our own Bursa area notes to separate real demand from simple price speculation.

What property types will appreciate the most in Bursa in 2026?

As of 2026, apartments are expected to appreciate the most in Bursa, especially modern 1 bedroom, 2 bedroom, and compact 3 bedroom flats.

The projected 2026 appreciation for modern Bursa apartments is about 25% to 30%, with the strongest results in Nilüfer, Görükle, Özlüce, Balat, Altınşehir, and selected Osmangazi corridors.

The main demand trend is affordability, because more Bursa buyers can still consider apartments than villas when interest rates and living costs are high.

Older villas and expensive detached homes may underperform in Bursa in 2026 because the buyer pool is smaller and financing is harder.

Sources and methodology: we used Endeksa, TCMB, and TÜİK.
We compared price growth with affordability limits and the most common Bursa buyer budgets.
We also checked our own listing samples to see which property types stayed liquid.

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How will interest rates affect property prices in Bursa in 2026?

As of 2026, high interest rates are holding Bursa property prices back in real terms, even though nominal prices are still rising.

The TCMB benchmark policy rate is 37% in June 2026, and Bursa mortgage rates are expected to stay expensive until inflation clearly moves lower.

In practical terms, a 1 percentage point increase in mortgage rates can quickly reduce affordability in Bursa, so sellers usually need cash buyers or lower prices to close deals.

You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Turkey.

Sources and methodology: we used TCMB, OECD, and the World Bank.
We connected policy rates with Bursa buyer affordability and typical mortgage sensitivity.
We also used our own purchase scenarios to test how monthly payments change.

What are the biggest risks for property prices in Bursa in 2026?

As of 2026, the three biggest risks for Bursa property prices are sticky inflation, high mortgage rates, and weak industrial demand from Europe.

The highest probability risk is that mortgage rates stay expensive for longer, which would keep Bursa transaction volume weak and limit real price growth.

We actually cover all these risks and their likelihoods in our pack about the real estate market in Bursa.

Sources and methodology: we used TCMB, OECD, and the World Bank.
We ranked risks by likelihood and likely impact on ordinary Bursa buyers.
We also used our own Bursa risk framework, including earthquake quality, oversupply, and rental depth.

Is it a good time to buy a rental property in Bursa in 2026?

As of 2026, it can be a good time to buy a rental property in Bursa, but only if the property is modern, easy to rent, and not overpriced.

The strongest argument for buying now is that Bursa rental demand is deep in areas such as Görükle, Dumlupınar, Nilüfer center, Özlüce, Osmangazi transport corridors, and selected Mudanya locations.

The strongest argument for waiting is that high rates and inflation could keep real returns weak, especially if the purchase price is too high relative to rent.

If you want to know our latest analysis (results may differ from what you just read), you can read our assessment on whether now is a good time to buy a property in Bursa.

You'll also find a dedicated document about this specific question in our pack about real estate in Bursa.

Sources and methodology: we used Endeksa, TCMB RPPI, and Emlakjet.
We compared purchase prices with rent demand and likely tenant depth in each Bursa area.
We also used our own yield notes to identify where rental investments look safer.

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Where will property prices be in 5 years in Bursa?

What is the 5-year property price forecast for Bursa as of 2026?

As of 2026, Bursa property prices are expected to rise by about 100% to 135% in nominal lira terms over the next 5 years.

A conservative 5 year Bursa forecast is around 80% nominal growth, while an optimistic scenario is closer to 150% if inflation stays high and mortgage access improves later.

This implies an average annual Bursa property appreciation rate of about 15% to 19% in nominal terms, although real returns should be much lower.

The key assumption behind most 5 year Bursa property forecasts is that Türkiye slowly moves from very high inflation toward more normal rates after 2026.

Sources and methodology: we used Endeksa, IMF, and the World Bank.
We built the 5 year forecast from current Bursa prices, inflation expectations, and rate normalization assumptions.
We also stress tested the result with our own Bursa price scenarios.

Which areas in Bursa will have the best price growth over the next 5 years?

The top three Bursa areas for 5 year price growth are likely Nilüfer growth districts, Kestel and Gürsu, and the Mudanya coastal corridor.

These stronger Bursa areas could see about 120% to 170% cumulative nominal price growth over 5 years if transport, population, and rental demand continue improving.

This differs from the short term forecast because 5 year growth gives more time for infrastructure and district catch up effects to become visible.

The best undervalued Bursa area for possible 5 year outperformance is Kestel, especially well connected parts near transport and newer housing stock.

Sources and methodology: we used the Ministry of Transport, Endeksa, and TÜİK population data.
We gave more weight to areas with better access, lower entry prices, and stronger future tenant demand.
We also used our own Bursa area scoring to compare liquidity, safety, and long term upside.

What property type will give the best return in Bursa over 5 years as of 2026?

As of 2026, modern apartments are expected to give the best total return over 5 years in Bursa.

A good modern apartment in Bursa could deliver about 140% to 190% total nominal return over 5 years when price growth and rental income are combined.

The main structural trend supporting apartments is Bursa's steady demand from students, families, factory workers, hospital staff, and professionals who need practical housing.

The best balance of return and lower risk is likely a modern 2 bedroom or compact 3 bedroom apartment in Nilüfer, Görükle, Dumlupınar, Özlüce, or a strong Osmangazi corridor.

Sources and methodology: we used Endeksa, TCMB rent data, and TÜİK.
We estimated total return by combining likely price growth with realistic gross rental yield ranges.
We also used our own Bursa rental notes to avoid overrating weak tenant areas.

How will new infrastructure projects affect property prices in Bursa over 5 years?

The top three infrastructure projects likely to affect Bursa property prices are the Bursa high speed train, the Bursa to Bandırma rail extension, and the Emek to City Hospital light rail link.

In Bursa, properties that truly benefit from completed transport projects can often earn a 5% to 15% price premium over similar homes with weaker access.

The Bursa neighborhoods most likely to benefit include parts of Nilüfer, Osmangazi, Gürsu, Kestel, Yenişehir, Emek, and the wider corridors connected to City Hospital and the rail network.

Sources and methodology: we used the Ministry of Transport, Endeksa, and TCMB.
We counted only infrastructure that improves real commute convenience, not vague project announcements.
We also used our own location scoring to estimate where the premium is most credible.

How will population growth and other factors impact property values in Bursa in 5 years?

Bursa's population should grow steadily over the next 5 years, and this should support property values by keeping demand firm for practical mid market housing.

The strongest demographic trend in Bursa is the need for smaller, affordable, well located homes from young workers, students, and middle income families.

Domestic migration should support Bursa property values because Bursa remains cheaper than Istanbul while still offering jobs, industry, universities, hospitals, and coastal access.

The property types and areas most likely to benefit are modern apartments in Nilüfer, Görükle, Dumlupınar, Osmangazi corridors, Kestel, Gürsu, and selected Mudanya locations.

Sources and methodology: we used TÜİK population data, the World Bank, and IMF.
We linked population pressure with Bursa's jobs, universities, transport, and housing affordability.
We also used our own neighborhood demand notes to identify where population growth matters most.
infographics comparison property prices Bursa

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Turkey compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

What is the 10 year property price outlook in Bursa?

What is the 10-year property price prediction for Bursa as of 2026?

As of 2026, Bursa property prices are expected to rise by about 300% to 500% in nominal lira terms over the next 10 years.

A conservative 10 year Bursa forecast is around 250% nominal growth, while an optimistic scenario is closer to 600% if inflation stays high and Bursa keeps attracting people and investment.

This implies an average annual Bursa property appreciation rate of about 15% to 20% in nominal terms over the next decade.

The biggest uncertainty in any 10 year Bursa property prediction is Turkish inflation, because inflation can make nominal prices look strong even when real gains are modest.

Sources and methodology: we used Endeksa, OECD, and IMF.
We projected Bursa prices from current values and long term inflation normalization scenarios.
We also used our own sensitivity model because 10 year lira forecasts are highly uncertain.

What long-term economic factors will shape property prices in Bursa?

The top three long term factors shaping Bursa property prices are industrial employment, transport connectivity, and the shift toward safer modern housing.

The most positive factor for Bursa property values is the city's industrial base, because jobs create real housing demand beyond tourism or speculation.

The greatest structural risk is inflation and affordability, because local wages must keep up for Bursa property prices to rise in real terms.

You'll also find a much more detailed analysis in our pack about real estate in Bursa.

Sources and methodology: we used the World Bank, the Ministry of Transport, and TÜİK.
We focused on structural drivers rather than short term listing noise.
We also used our own long term Bursa framework covering jobs, access, safety, rents, and liquidity.

What sources have we used to write this blog article?

Whether it's in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about Bursa, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can, and we don't throw out numbers at random.

We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we've listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.

Source Why we trust it How we used it
Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye, Residential Property Price Index It is Türkiye's official quality adjusted house price index. We used it to benchmark Bursa against the national and regional housing market. We also used it to separate nominal growth from real growth.
TCMB April 2026 RPPI report It gives the latest official house price index data available in June 2026. We used its national, real, and regional readings. We treated TR41 as the best official proxy for Bursa province.
TCMB June 2026 policy rate decision It is the official source for Türkiye's central bank interest rate. We used it to assess mortgage affordability in Bursa. We also used its inflation language to shape the 2026 forecast.
TÜİK main data portal TÜİK is Türkiye's official statistics agency. We used it for inflation, construction costs, employment, and housing sales context. We cross checked macro signals against TCMB and international sources.
TÜİK population portal It is the official demographic source for Turkish provinces. We used it to frame Bursa's population pressure. We connected population growth with local demand for apartments and family housing.
Endeksa Bursa housing index It is a widely used Turkish real estate data platform. We used it for Bursa level asking prices, average size, and annual price growth. We treated it as market evidence, not official transaction data.
Emlakjet It is one of Türkiye's major real estate listing portals. We used it to cross check listing patterns and demand texture. We relied on official sources whenever a better official source existed.
World Bank Türkiye country outlook It gives independent macro forecasts for Türkiye. We used it for inflation, growth, energy price, and risk premium assumptions. We used it to stress test Bursa real price growth.
IMF Türkiye country page It gives official country level macro projections. We used its 2026 GDP and inflation projections. We used it as a conservative check on property market forecasts.
OECD Türkiye Economic Outlook 2026 OECD forecasts are widely used for macro comparison. We used it to assess domestic demand, inflation pressure, and interest rate direction. We used it to shape the 2026 to 2027 transition view.
Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure, Bursa high speed train It is the official source for Bursa's rail infrastructure timeline. We used it to identify the main infrastructure catalyst. We mapped likely effects around Nilüfer, Osmangazi, Gürsu, Kestel, Yenişehir, and access corridors.
European Central Bank euro to Turkish lira reference rate It is an official daily exchange rate reference. We used it to convert Bursa property values into euros. We kept currency conversions rounded because exchange rates move daily.

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